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Coming March 18: “How Not To Invest”

The Big Picture

Well, that was a lot more fun than I expected! I submitted the final manuscript for my new book, How Not to Invest , last week. The final edit will involve some back-and-forth, but the writing is finished. I recall “ Bailout Nation ” as more of a slog, in part because so much of it happened in real-time. I constantly rewrote entire chapters as various companies blew up.

Investing 201
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Tuesday links: a penchant for risk

Abnormal Returns

Markets The U.S. stock market is constantly doubted, evidence to the contrary. (awealthofcommonsense.com) You can't have a bubble without this group of investors. (behaviouralinvestment.com) Finance Portfolio trading is a growing force in credit markets. (ft.com) Robinhood ($HOOD) is buying TradePMR. (investmentnews.com) ETFs The filing for the SSGA Bridgewater All Weather ETF is live.

Media 144
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (November 16-17, 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the latest Fidelity RIA Benchmarking Study shows that while RIAs saw gains in AUM and revenue last year, their operating margins tightened, suggesting that rising expenses are cutting into firm profits. The study also looked at what “high performing” firms are doing differently than their peers, finding that these firms have a higher close rat

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Estate Planning Offerings are Becoming Table Stakes

Wealth Management

Clients increasingly view estate planning as a core element of holistic wealth management, not just a one-time task, according to a survey from online estate planning platform Vanilla.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Are U.S. Stocks Overvalued?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Politicians don’t control the stock market. When stocks go up presidents get too much credit and when they go down they get too much blame. It’s mostly circumstantial depending on the timing of cycles and such. But the markets move faster than ever these days. Investors are constantly pricing in the future, sometimes right, sometimes wrong, yet never in doubt.

Marketing 119

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MiB: Colin Camerer on Neuroeconomics

The Big Picture

 This week, we speak with Colin Camerer , Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Finance and Economics at California Institute of Technology. Prior to joining Caltech in 1994, Camerer was a faculty member at various institutions including the University of Chicago GSB and the Kellogg Graduate School of Business at Northwestern University, and held a visiting professorship at Oxford University.

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Research links: interrupted compounding

Abnormal Returns

Bonds Shorting low quality credit is not the same as shorting equities. (mailchi.mp) What does the VIX tell us about corporate bond spreads? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Bond and equity ETF liquidity is different. (papers.ssrn.com) Private credit Is private credit in a bubble? (alphaarchitect.com) Why publicly traded vehicles for private credit don't work as well.

Assets 144
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Robinhood to Acquire $40B AUA TradePMR

Wealth Management

The deal marks Robinhood’s entrance into the wealth management space, as it aims to connect its investors with human advisors.

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NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased; Delinquency Rate "Edged Up"

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Household Debt Rose Modestly; Delinquency Rates Remain Elevated The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $147 billion (0.8%) in Q3 2024, to $17.94 trillion. The report is based on data from the New York Fed’s nationally representative Consumer Credit Panel.

Economics 121
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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#FASuccess Ep 412: 3X’ing The Business With No More Than 50 Great Clients By Hyperfocusing On Who You Can Add The Most Value For, With Anjali Jariwala

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 412th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Anjali Jariwala. Anjali is the Founder of FIT Advisors, an RIA based in Torrance, California (but works virtually with clients nationwide) and oversees $65 million in assets under management for 45 client households. What's unique about Anjali, though, is how she has tripled her annual revenue from $250,000 to $750,000 during the past 6 years, while only adding a net of 10 cli

Clients 130
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At The Money Celebrates its First Anniversary

The Big Picture

Hard to believe a year ghas blown by that quickly, but it’s been that long (or short) since the first At the Money podcast dropped in 2023. With Masters in Business in its 10th year, the nice folks at Bloomberg asked if I had any ideas about any new shows. My initial response was, “Let me think about it.” I looked around to see what else was available and noticed a void.

Investing 190
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Adviser links: a unique experience

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks with Christina Lynn about Motivational Interviewing in order to enhance the work of wealth advisors. (standarddeviationspod.com) Brendan Frazier talks with Doug and Heather Boneparth about the keys to success for a couple. (podcasts.apple.com) Bogumil Baranowski talks with Justin Castelli about living an authentic life. (justincastelli.io) Taxes Some speculation on what is next for the TCJA.

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Former Wells Fargo, Stifel Advisor Sentenced to 3+ Years for $4M Health Insurance Scheme

Wealth Management

Kaival Patel was previously convicted of charges stemming from a plan to collect commissions on falsely prescribed compound medications, according to the Justice Department.

Medical 99
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Lawler: Observations Ahead of the December FOMC Meeting

Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: According to CME FedWatch , the “market-based” probability that the FOMC will cut its federal funds rate target by 25 bp at its December meeting is about 59%. Folks will also play close attention to the release of the FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) from meeting participants. Below is a table showing some of the key projections from the last four SEPs.

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Highlights From The Advise AI Conference 2024

Nerd's Eye View

In recent years, AI has become an increasingly common feature in advisor technology. The possibilities at the intersection of AI and financial advice are exciting – faster processes, better connections, less time on ‘busy work’ – but also come with uncertainty about the future of the field. What might the field of financial advice even look like in 10 years?

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales Up 0.4% in October

Advisor Perspectives

Nominal retail sales in October were up 0.40% month-over-month (MoM) and up 2.85% year-over-year (YoY). However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were up 0.15% MoM and up 0.27% YoY.

Retail 110
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Personal finance links: moving through hardship

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Dan Haylett talks retirement transitions with Victoria Barker, co-founder of Beyond Your Career. (humansvsretirement.com) Katie Gatti Tassin talks money dysmorphia with Clay Cockrell, a therapist for the ultra high-net worth crowd. (podcast.moneywithkatie.com) Home ownership Should you put down more than 20% on a new home? (ofdollarsanddata.com) Add rising HOA fees to the rising costs of home ownership.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Estate Planning Services Are Becoming Table Stakes

Wealth Management

Clients increasingly view estate planning as a core element of holistic wealth management, not just a one-time task, according to a survey from online estate planning platform Vanilla.

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Retail Sales Increased 0.4% in October

Calculated Risk

On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.4% from September to October (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 2.8 percent from October 2023. From the Census Bureau report : Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $718.9 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent from the previous month , and up 2.8 percent from October 2023.

Retail 113
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Seeking Best Execution: Understanding The SEC’s Expectations For Advisors To Deliver Best Outcomes For Clients

Nerd's Eye View

Investment advisers are fiduciaries that owe a duty of care and loyalty to their clients. One component of this duty of care is an obligation to seek best execution of client securities transactions. While this requirement might sound relatively straightforward, the lack of a single definition for what this duty actually requires can make it challenging for advisers seeking to understand precisely what it means to comply with this responsibility.

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The Miracle of U.S. Equities

A Wealth of Common Sense

The best compliment I can offer any financial writer: I wish I had written that. I’ve had that thought about John Rekenthaler’s work numerous times over the years. I’ve always admired his common sense, straight-shooter approach to investment writing. Last week, Rekenthaler penned his farewell column for Morningstar. Instead of providing a retrospective on his own career, he wrote an ode to the U.S. stock.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Longform links: slow demand growth

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from "The Nvidia Way: Jensen Huang and the Making of a Tech Giant" by Tae Kim. (barrons.com) An excerpt from “The Second Fifty: Answers to the 7 Big Questions of Midlife and Beyond” by Debra Whitman. (wsj.com) Culture Is the love song really dying? (pudding.cool) The case against 'cotton candy culture.' (honest-broker.com) Why Bill Watterson of 'Calvin & Hobbes' fame stands out.

Taxes 157
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The Power of Content Marketing

Wealth Management

The influence of content marketing goes well beyond simple brand awareness; it is a crucial asset for educating, engaging and building trust with both prospective clients and colleagues.

Marketing 115
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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but is still elevated, and is now up 4.5% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through September 2024.

Food 113
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The Impact of Ownership Mentality on Employee Accountability & Company Growth

XY Planning Network

No matter the size of your business or whether you have no current plans to hire that first team member, it’s never too early to begin or, in some cases, continue defining and evolving your company’s culture. Establishing an ownership mentality mindset is vital to include in your culture.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Placing Guardrails on Your Portfolio

A Wealth of Common Sense

People are terrible at self-regulation and self-awareness when it comes to eating. One study asked people how much bread they ate after leaving an Italian restaurant. Nearly one-third of the diners couldn’t recall how much they had. And 12% of the people who ate bread denied having eaten any at all. When asked how much food they consumed in a meal, people of average weight assume they’ve eaten 20% less than th.

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Friday links: the crypto community

Abnormal Returns

Markets The equity risk premium has fallen. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) The S&P SmallCap 600 index is 30 years old. (spglobal.com) Finance Elon Musk's xAI and SpaceX are getting a valuation boost. (ft.com) Is private credit in a bubble? (alphaarchitect.com) How the activist short selling ecosystem works. (on.ft.com) Fund management 2024 could see $1 trillion in U.S.

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Morgan Stanley Sues Nevada Advisor Who Left for Raymond James

Wealth Management

Nicholas Takahashi and his team managed about $1.3 billion when it left the wirehouse earlier this year, but Morgan Stanley alleged the rep was breaking his non-solicitation vows.