The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 10, 2024

In doing so, I thought this conversation was really quite fascinating, and I think you will also, especially if you’re not only interested in equity, but curious as to how to combine various aspects of market functions, valuation, economic cycle, fed actions into one coherent strategy. But generally starts with the economic cycle.

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Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

Which has in turn triggered the more skittish stock investors to run for the exits and completely change their view of our economic future, flooding the financial news with red ink and scary headlines. Now that we’ve covered the background, we can get into some better news: This is all a normal, healthy part of the economic cycle.

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The Big Picture

OCTOBER 17, 2023

A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. What is that? The second is excess returns.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. The Russell 2000 has 2000 out of the roughly 3,500 stocks available publicly traded.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 3, 2024

A bachelor’s in economics from Northwestern and then an MBA from University of Chicago. And so I kind of leveraged that when I went to Morningstar because they’re very focused on quality, the whole concept of economic moats, but also about buying companies when they’re trading at a discount to intrinsic value.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. When you look at the 82 to 2000 bull market, something like 75% of those gains came not from earnings growth, but from multiple expansion. It’s also being part of the senior team that runs Vanguard, the business of Vanguard, right? RITHOLTZ: Right. RITHOLTZ: Right.

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The Big Picture

JUNE 6, 2023

SETHI: Well, everybody thought they were a genius including me in 1999, 2000. It’s much deeper than math. My podcast where I speak to couples from all over the economic spectrum is “I Will Teach You to Be Rich” and my book is also called “I Will Teach You to Be Rich.” How do you lose half of your money that quickly?

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The Big Picture

DECEMBER 12, 2023

He’s crushed the Russell 2000, whatever benchmark you want to talk about. And I was a math nerd as a kid. You’re 34th, you’re retiring after 34 years and you trounce what’s really the more appropriate benchmark, I would assume the Russell 2000. He has absolutely crushed his benchmark over that period.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 27, 2023

since the ‘80s regarding economic mobility, that there used to be a huge ability to move up, or at least be in a better situation than your parents were. Tell us about how you saw this lack of diversity and the lack of economic mobility. And the data implies that from the 1980s forward, that kind of stopped.

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 24, 2023

STEVEN KLINSKY, FOUNDER, CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, NEW MOUNTAIN CAPITAL: I come from the Detroit area of Michigan as a public school kid, went to University of Michigan and studied both economics and philosophy. KLINSKY: That was a super hot theme in the year 1999 and 2000. RITHOLTZ: Sorry about the theft of that last (inaudible).

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 15, 2023

You had the run up in the dot coms to 2000. ” 29, 87, 74, just pick any 50 plus percent number and certainly 2000 and ’08, ’09, a major index gets cut in half. SEIDES: Yeah, I wouldn’t measure it in terms of economic returns. And what was his response? SEIDES: Yeah. Well, and you have to go back.

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Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 27, 2022

Yet debt only fell once, in the year 2000, by 113.875 billion vs a purported budget surplus of $236.241 billion. That was in 2000. 2022 Math The 2021 year end debt was $29.621 trillion. Nearly 50,000 economic illiterates like that Tweet. This is not a fiscal vs. calendar year distortion, but an ongoing deficit lie.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 21, 2023

That is incredibly painful period for our process that both this time, which I think we’re still in the midst of end ’99, 2000, we’ve more than recovered from the roundtrip. My mom was a math teacher so — RITHOLTZ: Okay. The entire market, if you like, a Shiller CAPE or something was much worse in ’99, 2000.

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The Big Picture

JULY 13, 2024

MIT’s Daron Acemoglu and GS’ Jim Covello are skeptical, with Acemoglu seeing only limited US economic upside from AI over the next decade and Covello arguing that the technology isn’t designed to solve the complex problems that would justify the costs, which may not decline as many expect. So, will this large spend ever pay off?

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The Big Picture

MARCH 12, 2024

And that’s, that’s the predecessor to Amherst, which we bought in 2000 and had been running it since then. So think about 2003 home prices had gone up a lot from 2000. So mortgage position in 2000 were way more valuable in 2003 than they were when they originated because they weigh less credit risk. Anything else?

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The Big Picture

APRIL 8, 2024

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically , is below. So you have all of this very pragmatic experience as opposed to getting a PhD in economics, which tends to be a little more abstract and academic. I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 11, 2024

That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. These experts made a living “analyzing” and pontificating on political and economic developments. And lots of surprises.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

1999, 2000, the internet was blowing up. The SNL crisis Tiger Chase had started, you know, in the wake of the internet melding down in 2000. I I was speaking at the Javits Center, 2000 people in the audience. If you think back to 2000, Amazon was the disruptor to Walmart or to Macy’s. And that was 25 years ago.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

NADIG: And trying to help people understand what that means for next week, and the next year, and the next decade, to position products underneath it, like ETFs in 1992, or model portfolios in 2000, or direct indexing in 2010. I read all those academic papers, I understand where the math comes from. It’s how math works.

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The Big Picture

APRIL 2, 2024

He is so knowledgeable about so many unusual areas in economics. You’re the author of 200 plus papers, six books, deaths of Despair, which you wrote with Anne Case who happens to be your wife, was a New York Times bestseller and your latest book, economics in America, an Immigrant Economist, explores the Land of inequality.

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The Big Picture

JULY 15, 2024

I started out math and, and physics, and in high school I was a rock star in math and physics. I, I remember my father-in-law saying to me back in like 2000, he had a bunch of NYC go bonds that were 15% when New York City was in trouble, right? Although it is impacting the bottom half of the economic stratas credit spending.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. And I think that helped fuel the smart beta boom of the 2000 tens. It’s just not smart on a math basis to do that. And I just caught the bug.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 19, 2024

Colin Camerer : So I, some of it was when I was in college at Johns Hopkins, I, I studied physics and math. Colin Camerer : And then economics, which I really only took a little bit of, a lot fewer than my peers I later competed with in grad school, was kind of in between like the three little bears, you know, it was, there was, I love that.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 26, 2022

What’s similar is what’s happened is in the last particularly decade, more attention got focused on startups and even the government leaders, mayors and governors for decades, economic development was basically getting a big company to move their headquarters, or big company to open a factory. The math never seems to work out.

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The Big Picture

MAY 2, 2023

RITHOLTZ: So wait, you’re, I’m trying to do the math, if you were 24 in ‘08, so you got this watch in 2000, 99? ANNOUNCER: Geopolitical risk, changing regulation, economic uncertainty, EY can help you identify the risks that matter. ANNOUNCER: Geopolitical risk, changing regulation, economic uncertainty.

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The Big Picture

OCTOBER 31, 2022

So this is after March of 2000, his famous op-ed “Big-Cap Tech Stocks are a Sucker’s Bet.”. In every recession, except one and that was the tech bust of 2000, the drawdown of REITs was greater than the S&P 500. Then 25 years after that, in 2000, well, we all know dot-com burst and then bust. You have to apply.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 23, 2022

in Economics from Chicago and MBA from Stanford. So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. Even if you read both of Browder’s books, you will find something to be amazed at. With no further ado, my conversation with Bill Browder.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 22, 2023

CASS SUNSTEIN, FOUNDER, HARVARD LAW SCHOOL’S PROGRAM ON BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY: Thank you, a great pleasure to be here. RITHOLTZ: There’s nobody in the world of economics or behavioral finance like Dick Thaler. I thought law and economics was extremely important and kind of on the right track.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 12, 2024

Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast, another extra special guest, Peter Goodman, is the award-winning investigative reporter and economics correspondent for the New York Times, his latest book, how the World Ran Out Of Everything Inside The Global Supply Chain. And I was ostensibly the economic writer. I i I have to bring up.

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