Abnormal Returns

MAY 1, 2023

capitalspectator.com) The Nasdaq 100 has outpaced the Russell 2000 by over 20% in 2023. etftrends.com) Economy Is the U.S. Markets How major asset classes performed in April 2023. twitter.com) Crypto Gary Gensler's SEC has been busy. investmentnews.com) Bitcoin transaction volume is on the rise. inventory drawdown finally over?

Financial Advising 244

Financial Advising Startup Banking Manufacturing 244

The Big Picture

AUGUST 15, 2022

When we look at the past century, we can see decades-long eras where the economy is generally robust, supporting markets trending higher, with expanding multiples. The best examples are 1946-66, 1982-2000, and 2013 forward. The counterargument is the spike in inflation has changed the dynamic of the economy.

Economy 327

Economy Marketing Marketing Economics 327

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

However, they are significant — and rising rates this year have been a headwind for both equities and the economy. Alas, today’s inflation is 1) not like that of the 1970s; 2) the economy is nothing like the 1980s double-dip recession; and 3) Jerome Powell is no Paul Volcker. 1 and 2 are good, I suspect 3 is problematic.

Economy 310

Economy Taxes Marketing Marketing 310

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 29, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.1 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.8 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 76

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 76

Calculated Risk

JUNE 4, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 131

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 131

Abnormal Returns

MAY 18, 2024

semafor.com) Climate 2023 was the hottest summer in 2000 years. maddieburton.substack.com) Luxury hotels have rebounded better than economy hotels. (politico.com) Energy What happens you combine a green roof with solar panels? goodgoodgood.co) How China is encouraging battery recycling. arstechnica.com) U.S.

Financial Advising 288

Financial Advising Transportation Media Food 288

The Big Picture

MARCH 3, 2023

2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked. The 2000 crash was the worst of all of these: The Nasdaq plummeted 81% from peak to trough. My economic future was uncertain, but I felt confident I could make a go of it.

Marketing 336

Marketing Marketing Economics Portfolio 336

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 30, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.4 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 122

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 122

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 1, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.1 million) continued to trend down and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. million from 7.71

Numbers 73

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 73

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 7, 2023

USA Today ) • Signs of a Weakening Job Market, in Five Charts : Openings and quits data could give clues to the direction of hiring and the economy. The strategy goes well beyond defeating an opponent: It seeks to destroy key infrastructure and the economy, with many civilian casualties. ( Some Employers Say So. Some : U.S.

Retail 238

Retail Commission Economy Accounting 238

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 28, 2023

axios.com) Housing 30-year mortgage rates are at their highest level since 2000. zillow.com) Economy Barry Ritholtz, "The nuanced, counterintuitive truth is that the pandemic presented policymakers with a series of terrible options. (frontofficesports.com) League One Volleyball is launching a new women's pro league next year.

Financial Advising 162

Financial Advising Insurance Media Economy 162

Calculated Risk

APRIL 2, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.7 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 111

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 111

Calculated Risk

MAY 2, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.9 million) changed little, while layoffs and discharges (1.8 million) increased. Jobs openings decreased in March to 9.6

Numbers 144

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 144

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 5, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.6 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 118

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 118

Carson Wealth

JULY 29, 2024

last week, declining for the second consecutive week, but there’s still a lot of strength under the surface, as the small cap Russell 2000 Index climbed 3.5%. March 2000 at the peak of the tech bubble. Q2 GDP Growth Confirms Economic Resilience The economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.8% almost broke the economy in 2019.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Transportation 96

Calculated Risk

JULY 6, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (4.0 million) increased, while layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. Jobs openings decreased in May to 9.8

Numbers 131

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 131

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

Year to date, the S&P 500 is down more than 23%; the Russell 2000 small caps are off more than 26%; Emerging markets are down almost 28%; and the Nasdaq Tech index is off more than 31%. Economy : GDP, Hiring & Wages, Consumer Spending, Industrial production, Home building, and on and on goes the list. Asset Economy.

Asset Allocation 342

Asset Allocation Financial Planning Assets Media 342

Calculated Risk

MAY 31, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.8 million) changed little, while layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) decreased. million from 9.7 million in March.

Numbers 133

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 133

Advisor Perspectives

APRIL 4, 2024

The economy, inflation, interest rates and market valuations drive the key questions facing advisors. Does the tech stock landscape mirror the boom of 1996 or the bust of 2000? What will be the impact of Meta's inaugural dividend payment? Is now the time to increase allocations to international Markets?

Valuation 64

Valuation Retail Economy Banking 64

Calculated Risk

MARCH 8, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.9 million) decreased, while layoffs and discharges (1.7 million) increased. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 139

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 139

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 4, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 142

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 142

Calculated Risk

JULY 2, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.7 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 80

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 80

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 17, 2022

“Mortgage application activity was lower last week, with overall applications declining over two percent to their lowest level since 2000. The refinance index, however, fell five percent to its lowest level since November 2000 , driven by a six percent drop in conventional refinance applications.”

Economy 139

Economy Economics Marketing Marketing 139

Calculated Risk

JULY 30, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.3 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 73

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 73

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 1, 2022

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (4.1 million) changed little and layoffs and discharges (1.3 million) edged down.

Numbers 141

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 141

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 4, 2022

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) were little changed. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 134

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 134

Calculated Risk

MAY 1, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.3 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 76

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 76

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 19, 2023

The economy is not on the right track, even as Americans’ Net Worth Surged by Most in Decades During Pandemic. 18, 2023) The Annoyance Economy : Data alone don’t capture how frustrating and stressful it is to be a consumer right now. 2000-2003 Dotcom implosion 6. Heart disease is near the very bottom of coverage. Atlantic, Oct.

Media 351

Media Economy Economics Wealth Management 351

Calculated Risk

MARCH 6, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.4 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 73

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 73

Calculated Risk

APRIL 4, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (4.0 million) edged up, while layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) decreased. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 98

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 98

Validea

JANUARY 18, 2024

After the Fed indicated that they were done with their rate-hiking cycle late last fall, the Russell 2000 index of small companies soared 5.4% Still, the smallest companies of the category—microcaps—are still very cheap, even though they stand to benefit the most from a good economy. billion and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s $234 billion.

Economy 52

Economy Financial Advisor Management Marketing 52

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 3, 2024

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) edged down and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. million from 8.85 million in October.

Numbers 73

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 73

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 3, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.6 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.7 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 78

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 78

The Big Picture

JANUARY 8, 2024

Besides 2022, recent examples include 2018, 2000, and 2002 (the recession was in 2001). Federal Reserve : While a recession is possible in 2024, it mostly depends upon how long the FOMC keeps rates tighter (higher) than is appropriate for the economy. Down years are far more likely than up years to be associated with recessions.

Economy 330

Economy Banking Marketing Marketing 330

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

This series started in December 2000. When the blue line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs. Within separations, quits (3.7 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. This is a measure of labor market turnover.

Numbers 70

Numbers Economy Marketing Marketing 70

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 29, 2022

The cost of owning a home with a mortgage is the most expensive since at least 2000. These economies continue to underperform, and we worry about significant out-migration and sustained population loss. If housing is weak for three years, expect the economy to be weak for three years as well. Meanwhile, housing is going to hell.

Sales 285

Sales Economics Consulting Economy 285

The Big Picture

JANUARY 31, 2024

Bad things happen when the economy contracts. Music] I’m Barry Ritholtz, and on today’s edition of At The Money , we’re gonna discuss how to accurately identify– in advance, in real-time – when the economy is going into recession. Tell us what happens to the economy during a recession.

Economy 296

Economy Economics Consulting Marketing 296