Remove 2001 Remove Economics Remove Valuation
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Thursday links: the laws of physics

Abnormal Returns

Rates Mortgage rates are at levels not seen since 2001. finance.yahoo.com) Markets Valuations don't matter in the short term. morningstar.com) Economy Any single economic data point is filled with noise. axios.com) Global government bond yields are at 15-year highs. theinformation.com) The city of San Francisco is struggling.

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Equity Beat: Don't Wait for Earnings to Trough

Brown Advisory

at year-end can largely explain the compression in valuation, especially for higher multiple equities, primarily during the first half of the year. Since 1995, there are four rather distinct periods during which forward earnings estimates for the S&P 500 Index declined, tied to a specific event and/or economic downturn. by year-end.

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Market Commentary: Checking In on Market Fundamentals

Carson Wealth

Pockets of attractive valuations exist despite above-average valuations in some high-profile areas of the market. The measure is at 80.7%, exactly where it was a year ago and higher than at any point between July 2001 and February 2020. Following the huge 11.2% But does a strong labor market raise inflation concerns?

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Market Commentary: Stocks in the Middle of Some Amazing Streaks While Job Growth Perks Up

Carson Wealth

That’s higher than anything we saw between 2001 and 2019 (when it peaked at 80.4%). If you’re wondering why economic growth keeps exceeding a lot of people’s expectations, especially after recent upward revisions, here’s why: Income growth is powering the economy, as opposed to credit. in September. But Can We Believe the Data?

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Smaller Stocks Are On A Winning Streak

Validea

With the Fed swiftly raising rates and the slowing of economic growth, small-cap stocks have gotten pummeled. That’s positive news for small-caps, especially as the pattern of underperforming before a recession and outperforming as a recession wanes is one that small-caps have followed in 1990, 2001, 2008, and 2020.

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This Present is Accounted For: An Overview of Low-Basis Gifting Strategies

Brown Advisory

Further, estate taxes in many states have been outright eliminated in the 21st century; before 2001, all 50 states had an estate tax, but today, there are only 12 (plus an additional six with various forms of inheritance taxes). There are other ways to generate valuation discounts through indirect gifting strategies.

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Federal Reserve Preview: Trick or Treat? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 31, 2022

James Hendries

With a series of important economic indicators suggesting the economy is declining and inflation is finally decelerating, albeit very slowly, markets are beginning to factor in that the Fed may soon transition to a less aggressive stance in early 2023. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.