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At the Money: Forecasting Recessions

The Big Picture

Bad things happen when the economy contracts. Music] I’m Barry Ritholtz, and on today’s edition of At The Money , we’re gonna discuss how to accurately identify– in advance, in real-time – when the economy is going into recession. Tell us what happens to the economy during a recession. Claudia Sahm : It varies.

Economy 298
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The Hustle ). • What Is the Bond Market Saying About the Economy? A Wealth of Common Sense ) see also After a Terrible Year for Bonds, the Outlook Is Better : October capped their worst 12-month period ever, and the economy is under pressure. Will American music fans ever see anything better? ( New York Times ). • Economist ).

Math 306
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At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut

The Big Picture

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let’s bring in Jim Bianco, Chief Strategist at Bianco Research, and His firm has been providing objective and unconventional research and commentary to portfolio managers since 1990, and it is top rated amongst institutional traders.

Numbers 288
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5 Unusual Economic Indicators That Can Tell You About the Economy

Trade Brains

However, there are many other lesser-known indicators that can actually provide valuable insights and are helpful for the economy. Lipstick Indicator Index The Lipstick indicator was coined by Leonard Laude, one of the billionaire heirs and chairman of the Estée Lauder cosmetics fortune, in the 2001 recession. What is it?

Economy 64
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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. What Matters for the Economy: Consumption (and Incomes) Consumption runs on incomes, and the picture there is positive.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Makes New All-Time High as Fed Goes Big

Carson Wealth

If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. Yes, 2001 and 2007 are in there, as you’ve probably heard many times the past week if you’ve watched financial media at all. All this is very positive for the economy. on average.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Rise Ahead of Big Fed Decision

Carson Wealth

The bottom line is if the economy was truly about to fall apart like so many economists keep telling us, we’d expect to see more weakness in high-yield bonds right here. Instead they are making more than two-year highs, yet another sign the economy is on firm footing despite what the nightly news tells you.