Calculated Risk

JANUARY 12, 2023

2) Employment: The economy added 4.5 Or will the economy lose jobs? If the Fed drives the economy into recession (to cool inflation), then we could see job losses in 2023. Or will the economy lose jobs? I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. million jobs in 2022.

Economy 94

Economy Economics Sales Numbers 94

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 18, 2022

on.ft.com) A visualization of the largest public companies by market cap from 2002-2022. npr.org) Global Nobody really knows how fast China's economy is growing, but it is slowing. nytimes.com) Economy Homebuyer traffic is in free fall. variety.com) Attrition costs Amazon ($AMZN) a pretty penny ever year.

Startup 130

Startup Recruitment Financial Advising Media 130

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

Also looking back to the 2002 9/11 situation and then going into Afghanistan and all that stuff. It just puts a lot of money into the economy, enables a lot of development. And the regular media does a terrible job covering the economy. And then, you know, as we were going through the financial crisis, 0 7, 0 8.

Marketing 317

Marketing Marketing Government Numbers 317

Nationwide Financial

OCTOBER 26, 2022

This behavior is like what was seen near the bottom in 2002, 2009, and 2020. In the past month, there have been five sessions where the S&P 500 gained 2% or more, indicating that institutions are dipping their toes in the water. The post Reading the volatility tea leaves appeared first on Nationwide Financial.

Financial Market 105

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Investments 105

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 7, 2022

Yes, the ‘73/’74 recession, tech bubble, and financial crisis all saw more weakness (and in some cases for a long time), but we don’t see an economy nearly as weak as those times. Remember, this year was the worst start to a year since 1974 and 2002. Below is another way of showing the study above. And a chance is all we need.

Economy 98

Economy Investments Investing Marketing 98

Nationwide Financial

JANUARY 11, 2023

or more, levels not seen since 2008 (78 days) or 2002 (73 days). As illustrated in the chart above, almost half of the trading days in 2022 saw positive or negative moves in the S&P 500 of greater than 1.0% – a reminder that volatility occurs on the upside and the downside.

Investments 72

Investments Investing Risk Tolerance Accounting 72

Calculated Risk

JUNE 7, 2023

This paints an optimistic landscape for non-residential construction in mid-2024, as the economy recovers and the Fed begins to pull back rates.” This graph shows the Dodge Momentum Index since 2002. Commercial planning in May was negatively impacted by continued weakness in office and hotel planning activity. The index was at 180.5

Planning 52

Planning Education Economy Economics 52

Darrow Wealth Management

MARCH 6, 2023

For much of last year, even good news about the economy was bad news for markets. Since 1926, stocks were down four consecutive years only once (between 1929 and 1932), three years in a row twice (latest being 2000 to 2002), and one instance of back-to-back losses (between 1974 and 1975). stocks (S&P 500) on record.

Marketing 86

Marketing Marketing Wealth Management Portfolio 86

Investing Caffeine

JANUARY 3, 2023

More specifically, in a typical bear market, the economy generally slows down causing demand to decelerate, and interest rates to decline, which causes the values of bonds to increase. And if it’s not declining home prices, lower energy prices have also filtered through the global economy to lower transportation and shipping costs (e.g.,

Economy 59

Economy Transportation CFP Investments 59

Nationwide Financial

JANUARY 19, 2023

This was the third worst calendar-year return for 60/40 portfolios since 2002, losing 16% in 2022. Aggregate Bond Index suffered its worst year since 1994, almost four times larger than the -2.9% lost in 1994. Market volatility in 2022 also hit the traditional 60% equity/40% bond model portfolio.

Portfolio 59

Portfolio Numbers Marketing Marketing 59

Carson Wealth

JUNE 5, 2023

Instead, the economy is showing resilience. The economy created 339,000 jobs in May, beating expectations for the 14th consecutive month. However, in the second half of the year, we expect investors to realize the economy is not headed for a recession (more on that below), which should help broaden the bull market. million jobs.

Economy 52

Economy Numbers Compliance Banking 52

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

CHANCELLOR: When they passed 2002, Friedman’s 90th birthday party in the Fed, Bernanke says facetiously to Friedman, “Apologizing for the Great Depression on behalf of the Federal Reserve, and ensuring that it won’t happen again.” I mean, I cite a description of the failure of the Soviet economy. CHANCELLOR: Yes.

Banking 147

Banking Valuation Economy Investments 147

Carson Wealth

MAY 22, 2023

As we explain more below, the economy is presenting many positive signs that suggest a recession is unlikely, and stocks likely are sniffing this out. Those new lows took place in 2002 before a generational three-year bear market and before the COVID-induced bear market and a 100-year pandemic. on average. Let’s focus on housing.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

Aleph

JUNE 13, 2022

Well, finally the bear market… at 3/31/2002 the S&P 500 was priced to return a trice less than zero in nominal terms. The FOMC will panic, tighten too much, and crater some area in the financial economy that they care about, and then they will give up again, regardless of how high inflation is.

Government 52

Government Banking Economy Marketing 52

Nationwide Financial

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

With two weeks left in the quarter, the S&P 500® Index is on pace for the sixth-worst performance on record through three quarters, trailing only 1974, 2001, 2002, 1931, and 2008. Share repurchases enter a blackout period, impacting demand for shares at a time when fund managers are holding their largest cash levels since 2001.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economics Banking 52

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

And then in ‘94 and ’98, you know, all had a different stream to 2002. I try to analyze the economy from the top. the economy is stabilizing, China is growing. and maybe the economy is coming off, the central bank, not in ‘23, but will start to ease. The economy slows and you come down the other side. Probably not.

Economy 147

Economy Numbers Marketing Marketing 147

The Irrelevant Investor

JUNE 4, 2021

The tech bubble, for example, peaked in March 2000 but didn't bottom until October 2002, two and a half years later. Everybody knew that the economy could not survive an economic shutdown. What if in the next bear market, stocks get hit way harder than the economy and there is no need for intervention?

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 52

Nationwide Financial

OCTOBER 24, 2022

This is similar to the market behavior near the bottoms in 2002, 2009, 2011, and 2020, reflecting the willingness of institutional investors to dip their toe back in the water. Despite historic levels of investor pessimism, the S&P 500® Index has shown 2% gains in six sessions in the past month in an effort to bounce.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Manufacturing Financial Market 52

Discipline Funds

MAY 8, 2023

In this piece I will explain why this isn’t 2008 all over again, but that the current environment is still very challenging for banks (and the broader economy) and likely to remain this way for the foreseeable future. The cause of this mini crisis is the re-pricing of everything in the economy following the COVID boom and bust.

Banking 65

Banking Economy Assets Portfolio 65

Nationwide Financial

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

DXY is within 5% of the 2002 peak, which was a historic period of fear and uncertainty. is the first time below parity since 2002. The dollar can be viewed as a relative bet on the U.S. versus the rest of the world and as a gauge of risk and fear built into the market. Pound is 1.08, approaching the record since WWII of 1.04

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Retail Economics 52

Trade Brains

JANUARY 24, 2024

Understanding the Indian Wealth Management Industry India’s wealth management market is experiencing a dynamic boom, spurred by a thriving economy, rising disposable incomes, and a thriving high net-worth Individuals(HNWI) population. These changes in the economy present immense opportunities for players like ARWL to flourish.

Wealth Management 59

Wealth Management Clients Distribution Assets 59

Good Financial Cents

SEPTEMBER 9, 2022

in May 2022 to pay for what $1,000 bought in May 2002. To say the economy and financial markets are in a state of flux is a serious understatement. Using the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI Inflation Calculator , we see that it took $1,625.67 That’s an increase in the cost of living of nearly 63% in the last 20 years.

Investing 90

Investing Investments Portfolio Food 90

Indigo Marketing Agency

FEBRUARY 27, 2024

Created in 2002, UVI RTPark is a rapidly growing economic development program specializing in technology and knowledge-based business attraction in the United States Virgin Islands (USVI). He divides his time between Lexington, KY, and St. Croix, US Virgin Islands.

Financial Advisor 52

Financial Advisor Clients Tax Planning Wealth Management 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

The tariffs announced so far affect a very small slice of the global economy, but we could see an escalation into a broader set of trade barriers between China and the U.S., Or are the steel tariffs of 2002 a better indicator of what we should expect—an orderly, low-impact process resolved by the WTO in fairly short order? From a U.S.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Clients Sales 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

The tariffs announced so far affect a very small slice of the global economy, but we could see an escalation into a broader set of trade barriers between China and the U.S., Or are the steel tariffs of 2002 a better indicator of what we should expect—an orderly, low-impact process resolved by the WTO in fairly short order? From a U.S.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Clients Sales 52

David Nelson

OCTOBER 17, 2022

Growth vs Value October 2002 – December 2007. The bottom occurred in October of 2002 as we were gearing up for the war but even here value outperformed by a wide margin. Covid and what followed is history and the Fed did the only thing they could following a near complete shutdown of the world economy.

Marketing 40

Marketing Marketing Valuation Banking 40

Nationwide Financial

AUGUST 29, 2022

The euro has fallen to the lowest level versus the dollar since 2002, further driving inflationary pressure, and potentially creating political unrest. Surging natural gas prices not only impacts heating and energy but also fertilizer prices which will impact food prices. What to Watch.

Banking 52

Banking Retail Economics Food 52

The Irrelevant Investor

DECEMBER 26, 2018

The Dow only fell 7% in 2001, again giving little insight into what was happening in the market, the economy, or our country. The Dow lost nearly 17% in 2002, but again, the experience felt way worse. There were two 4% gains in 2001. The first one was in April, the second one was in September, one day after the bottom.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 6, 2022

As economies decouple and deglobalise, prior “just-in-time” firms will move to “just-in-case” inventory, so it won’t be surprising to see RoICs come down without an offset in either asset turns or profit margins as they carry more robust inventory levels.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Insurance Ethics 52

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 15, 2024

And so, so, so what happened was, you remember like in late 2002, you had like five, 6% interest rates and, and, and it rates started to fall. And, and, and then all of a sudden it was snapped back really quickly ’cause all the money was seeing in the economy. And so people started refinancing their homes.

Government 147

Government Electronics Engineering Management 147

The Better Letter

JUNE 7, 2024

The greatest generation offered us their legacy of liberty and so very much more. Issue 177 (June 7, 2024) 1 The NFL’s unbalanced schedule, that pits the top teams from the previous year against other top teams, is also a factor. 3 The Patriots were paying Drew Bledsoe 12.3

Investments 83

Investments Investing Management Education 83

The Better Letter

MARCH 14, 2024

In June 2002, electrician Mike McDermott won £194,501 on the UK National Lottery after correctly choosing five numbers and the bonus ball. NARRATOR: “Next time you are tempted to make a market prediction, you might recall that the global economy has a few more than 52 variables.”

Numbers 82

Numbers Medicine Math Marketing 82

Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2022

The great freeze on free money has arrived with a jolt as inflation cleaves through the global economy. GAAP in 2002 7. It reminds us of Scott McNealy, then CEO of Sun Microsystems, venting his frustrations at an investor conference post-internet bubble bursting in early 2002 (see below).

Investments 52

Investments Investing Accounting Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

In Engines That Move Markets, a 2002 book about the cycles of technology investing, Alasdair Nairn defines “bubbles” as periods when investors appear to suspend rational valuation, much as they had during the dotcom craze shortly before the book was published. economy following the financial crisis. Not only have U.S. Possible Signs.

Investments 52

Investments Investing Valuation Assets 52

Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon.

Marketing 53

Marketing Marketing Retirement Investments 53

Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2022

Conversely, failures can have a devastating effect on a company , our economy , and society more broadly. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 elevated debates around corporate responsibility and enhanced the integrity of financial reporting.

Government 52

Government Investments Investing Clients 52

The Better Letter

MARCH 16, 2023

In June 2002, electrician Mike McDermott won £194,501 on the UK National Lottery after correctly choosing five numbers and the bonus ball. Note to self: The global economy has many more than 52 variables. Fast-forward four months to October and Mike was still playing. As Han Solo said, “Never tell me the odds.”

Math 93

Math Numbers Medicine Marketing 93