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You would offer three of their stock picks where they were probably touting stocks they wanted to unload from their portfolio. But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. I did it in 2000, 2002.
If at the start of the year, someone put 100% into the Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) as a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio, then to employ a portable alpha strategy, they could use leverage to add something to hopefully make it additive to returns. The first from when I worked at Fisher Investments in 2002.
Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 In June 2002, electrician Mike McDermott won £194,501 on the UK National Lottery after correctly choosing five numbers and the bonus ball. quintillion. trillion.
We discount each year at our 10% minimum weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and some infinite series maths gives us the basis for some rough approximations 2. Today the Global Leaders portfolio cash flow duration in real terms is in the 15 to 17-year range using this calculation. GAAP in 2002 7.
And then in ‘94 and ’98, you know, all had a different stream to 2002. But you know exactly how they’re going to interplay within a portfolio, hugely powerful. You know, it’s not the equity market, and I run some big equity portfolios, you know, different. Last year, it’s in our tactical portfolios.
That’s a really easy portfolio to create. It allows you to understand, generally speaking, what is a reasonable beta for that whole portfolio. By the time I got there in ’92, they had a great venture portfolio and almost nobody else even understood what venture capital was. That allows you to do two things.
It’s fun math – a 20% drop in prices means you get 25% more shares for your dollar, and a 50% drop means twice as many , or 100% more shares per dollar invested.). If you retire just BEFORE a big stock market crash, your first few months or years will drain your portfolio a bit more than you expected, until stock prices recover.
She was a partner and a portfolio manager at Canyon Capital, a firm that runs currently about $25 billion. But it’s interesting that you really can pinpoint the difference in return because there’s this sort of impatient or overzealousness in trading your portfolio. MIELLE: So there you go. MIELLE: Exactly. I get that.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. 00:49:30 [Speaker Changed] I bought it around 2000 and it crashed around 2002. So, so let’s talk a little bit about picking international stocks as an asset class has done fairly poorly, but it’s nearly a third of your portfolio and, and you continue to outperform.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. 00:01:29 [Barry Ritholtz] I I, I try not to butcher people’s names, but let’s talk a little bit about your, your background.
That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. Stop with the math.` Beyond the present lies imagination. And lots of surprises. This is the best thing I read in the last week.
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