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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The only other years with a higher reading since 1990 were 2008 when the S&P fell 38%, and 2002, when it fell 23%. Why Jack Welch Wouldn’t Cut It Today : Bill George, a legendary CEO in his own right, says good quarterly numbers aren’t necessarily indicative of strong leadership. Investors Keep Piling In Anyway.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

the rocket launch company he founded in 2002, before he got involved at Tesla. Life Lessons from 1,000 Years : I asked a number of 90-year-olds a simple question: “If you could speak to your 32-year-old self, what advice would you give?” But some habits are hard to break. ( New York Times ).

Media 276
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At the Money: Is War Good for Markets?

The Big Picture

So what were the numbers like after World War 1 and after World War 2? Jeff Hirsch : The numbers, it was about just around 500 percent, 517%, 521%, right in the just over 500%. And the Dow didn’t actually hit that number until, uh, it was July of 1992, but the S&P had the 500 percent move-in. Following both wars.

Marketing 317
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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in October

Calculated Risk

The institutional component was varied, experiencing growth in recreational and education projects, countered by a decline in the number of healthcare and public planning projects. This graph shows the Dodge Momentum Index since 2002. Commercial planning was bolstered by a solid increase in office and hotel projects. in September.

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Question #2 for 2023: How much will job growth slow in 2023? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

Job Changes During Recessions Year Job Change Recession 1974 -379 '73-'75 1975 365 '73-'75 1980 271 '80 1981 -48 '81-'82 1982 -2,124 '81-'82 1990 330 '90-'91 1991 -838 '90-91 2001 -1,727 '01 2002 -510 '01 2008 -3,553 '07-'09 2009 -5,051 '07-'09 2020 -9,292 '20 The 2020 recession was due to the pandemic. But those losses are already coming.

Economy 94
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Old School Alts, Represent!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The ten year numbers are awful for PRPFX because gold went down for about 4 years from 2013-2016. Going back to 2002 and PRPFX has a CAGR that beats VBAIX by 74 basis points annually thanks mostly to how well gold did in the first decade of this century.

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Not Your Grandpa’s Railroad

Fortune Financial

Since 2002, overall carloads on Union Pacific’s network have declined by a bit less than 1% per year, but Union Pacific’s revenues per car have increased 4% per year. railroads have vastly outperformed the broader stock market over the last five-, ten-, and twenty-year periods?