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Barry Ritholtz : The the funny thing is, the behavioral aspect of mutual funds seems to have been when people finally learn about a manager who’s put up great numbers, by the time it makes to make makes it to Forbes, hey, most of that run is probably over and a little mean reversion is about to kick in. I did it in 2000, 2002.
There are about 13 different portfoliomanagers each focused on a different sub-sector. They run long short across each of these, and they’ve put up some pretty impressive numbers over the past couple of years. I got an internship at a investment fund in Baltimore, and this was 2002 at the time. No, no overlap.
In Engines That Move Markets, a 2002 book about the cycles of technology investing, Alasdair Nairn defines “bubbles” as periods when investors appear to suspend rational valuation, much as they had during the dotcom craze shortly before the book was published. Not only have U.S. So, it may be a good time to revisit the bubbles theme.
She was a partner and a portfoliomanager at Canyon Capital, a firm that runs currently about $25 billion. RITHOLTZ: There’s safety in numbers. RITHOLTZ: The whole concept of whisper numbers, which we still use the phrase, but it doesn’t really exist anymore. The numbers are correct. MIELLE: Correct.
He is the managing director of Vanguard’s Financial Advisor Services Division, where he began back in 2002. And Wall Street didn’t work out for a variety of reasons, but I ended up working sort of an adjacent industry in the portfoliomanagement software business, and really wasn’t where my passion was.
And because my mother and grandmother were looking at these trying to figure out what was going on, I was curious about the sea of numbers. And 00:28:03 [Speaker Changed] That’s an amazing number. 00:49:30 [Speaker Changed] I bought it around 2000 and it crashed around 2002. If it’s a cyclical low Yeah.
Third, share prices dropping doesn’t tick off the executives who hold large amounts of company stock because often their compensation is determined by the number, not price, of shares. So according to Yardini Research, there was $200 billion of buybacks in quarter two, 2002 for S&P stocks. We’re going to just serve you beta.
So it’s got this math angle where it, you know, it’s all numbers, but then there’s this behavioral angle and psychological angle where, you know, it’s, it’s kind of a fun problem to tackle. It’s kind of a silly number, but people are going to think you’re smart or dumb based on that number.
DAMODARAN: I am interested in numbers. I’m naturally a numbers person. To me, storytelling is much more — I mean, if you think about the history of humanity, for thousands of years, the way we pass down information was with stories, not numbers. It has allowed for this acceleration of number crunching.
As my friend Morgan Housel has explained , “Every forecast takes a number from today and multiplies it by a story about tomorrow.” Bernstein, “Forecasting: Fables, Failures, and Futures – Continued,” in Economics and Portfolio Strategy , November 15, 2002, p. So did Ron Paul. The funniest.
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