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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. 2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 Or will the economy lose jobs? Or will the economy lose jobs? million jobs in 2023. million jobs in 2023.

Economy 298
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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

What does this rock traversing through the vast emptiness of space have to do with economic expansion, corporate revenues & profits, inflation, or interest rates? Alas, utterly nothing. Given all that, perhaps the 20% equity drawdown is less significant than many believe. • March Magic or March Madness? What’s already priced in?

Economy 328
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked. The first bear I experienced was utterly meaningless economically but still felt bad. My economic future was uncertain, but I felt confident I could make a go of it. In fact, it felt horrible.

Marketing 336
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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

economy is doing well, why do so many Americans say it’s terrible? The leading economic indicators show the U.S. economy is performing well, but most Americans still believe economic conditions are extremely poor — as if the country was mired in a deep recession. 2000-2003 Dotcom implosion 6. 1987 Crash 3.

Insurance 130
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The Economy vs. Interest Rates

Bell Investment Advisors

The economic backdrop to these losses, however, stands out. The broader economy surprises, too. A report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that gross domestic product grew at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 4.9% In the summer of 2003, an index of long-term U.S. stocks and U.S. and 1.3%, respectively.

Economy 52
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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. Even more impressive is the past four times this happened (1997, 2003, 2009, and 2020) all saw at least double-digit returns. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly.

Marketing 143
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5 Charts Showing the Strength of the Labor Market

Carson Wealth

Even if the economy created zero jobs over the next year, 2022 would be the 9 th best year for job creation since 1940. The highest it got to during the 2003–2007 expansion was 80.3%. When times are good and the economy is expanding, firms hire temps to ramp up quickly. Initial unemployment benefit claims are near record lows.