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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 Or will the economy lose jobs? The bad news - for job growth - is that a combination of a slowing economy, demographics and a labor market near full employment suggests fewer jobs will be added in 2024. Or will the economy lose jobs? million jobs in 2023.

Economy 298
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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

Holding onto expectations of major shifts in key drivers of the markets and the economy – merely due to the changing of the calendar – is a carryover from the days when the calendar mattered much more. Alas, utterly nothing. Given all that, perhaps the 20% equity drawdown is less significant than many believe. • March Magic or March Madness?

Economy 328
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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

The economy is not on the right track, even as Americans’ Net Worth Surged by Most in Decades During Pandemic. 18, 2023) The Annoyance Economy : Data alone don’t capture how frustrating and stressful it is to be a consumer right now. 2000-2003 Dotcom implosion 6. Heart disease is near the very bottom of coverage. Atlantic, Oct.

Media 351
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked. February 27, 2023) Looking at the Very Very Long Term (November 6, 2003) Bull & Bear Markets Behavioral Finance 1. Thanks to Josh and Mike for chatting this up in this week’s What Are Your Thoughts?

Marketing 336
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Market Commentary: Tariffs Have Increased Market Uncertainty, but Job Growth Remains Solid

Carson Wealth

The worries are growing, from a potentially slowing economy, to a growing and more aggressive trade war, to worries over Washington policy. Then five years ago we shut down our economy during a once-a-century pandemic. The economy created 151,000 jobs in February, more or less consistent with expectations.

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The Economy vs. Interest Rates

Bell Investment Advisors

The broader economy surprises, too. With a seemingly unstoppable labor market and an economy that’s defied recession expectations, why have most financial markets declined since July? In the summer of 2003, an index of long-term U.S. The post The Economy vs. Interest Rates appeared first on Bell Investment Advisors.

Economy 52
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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. Even more impressive is the past four times this happened (1997, 2003, 2009, and 2020) all saw at least double-digit returns. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly.

Marketing 143