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At the Money: Managing a Portfolio in a Higher Rate Environment

The Big Picture

Investors should be considering capturing some of that yield in their portfolios. We’re going to discuss how these changes are likely to affect your portfolios and what you should do about it. And they kept it there all the way to 2004, and the joke was in 2003 and 2004 was an emergency rate when there was no clear emergency.

Portfolio 162
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Where is This Rally Going?

The Big Picture

Those of you looking for income might consider putting fresh money to work building a bespoke muni portfolio, or buying the appropriate muni fund for your circumstances. ( February 4, 2013) Looking at the Very Very Long Term (November 6, 2003) Bull & Bear Markets The post Where is This Rally Going? we are happy to help ).

Taxes 288
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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

– Dot Com Implosion, March 2003 : After making a provisional low in October 2002, the dot com collapse reached its nadir in March 2003 coinciding with the launch of the Iraq invasion by the United States. The rally from those lows were close to a market double by the time we saw the next peak in October 2007.

Economy 328
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

My portfolio was tiny; I had no 401k, and my wife’s 403(b), with less than a decade’s worth of contributions, was barely 5-figures. The GFC and the pandemic were global phenomena; the 2022 market was the worst since 1981 for a 60/40 portfolio. By the mid-to-late-1990s, I was switching careers from law to finance.

Marketing 336
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The Contrarian’s Guide: Inside David Dreman’s Value Investment Strategy

Validea

A 10-stock portfolio based on his criteria returned 79.2% over five years from 2003-2008, nearly quadrupling the S&P 500’s gain. The strategy showed particular strength in 2003, 2004, and 2006, with returns exceeding 30% in each of those years. The portfolio maintained a beta of roughly 1.0,

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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. This has enormous ramifications for everything from our portfolios, policies and politics… See also , Failures’ Fallout (Mehlman, August 21, 2021) Teens Spend Average of 4.8

Media 351
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Alien Invasion!!!

The Big Picture

Similarly, excess fees and overtrading are more likely to hurt our portfolios than crashes. Stop Fighting the Last War : I have a vivid recollection of being offered “Downside protected S&P500 notes” early 2003 (from Lehman Brothers), after the dotcom crash, with the Nasdaq 100 down about 80%.