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So, the Portfolio Solutions Group advises mainly institutional clients on all kinds of challenges that they have and thinking about the expected returns, portfolio construction, risk management, et cetera. Those types of excess savings were sort of the culprit for the conundrum in 2005 or whatever it was. What is that role like?
Are your clients, the advisors, or are your clients, the institutional asset managers or both? And we’re the largest client to that, about a billion or $3 billion is in that. I read all those academic papers, I understand where the math comes from. It’s how math works. And then we write about that.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. It goes back to the client. It also aligns clients and improves client behavior.
It was a wild ride because by the time you got, well, so in 2005, we went on a road show trying to tell people what we had learned, and there wasn’t a lot of reception. And in the 2000 at the 2005 conference, it’s kind of wild. So let’s talk a little bit about who the clients are for Amherst. Fascinating.
So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. I lost $900 million with my client’s money and these are the people that I got around and tried to convince to invest in Russia. How many do you have in your fleet? They said, seven years.
This was the era, 2005, 2006, all of my friends were looking to get banking roles. And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. And they’d say, well, who are your clients? And by the way, at that point, that client was at $13 billion. Can’t.
RITHOLTZ: 2004, 2005. RITHOLTZ: 2005. So this is the math that I applied. So think about this, do the math. LINDZON: Yes. So I was fascinated that a businessman could build businesses on the internet. And So now flash forward to, you know, I’m a hedge fund guy. LINDZON: I hate CNBC. RITHOLTZ: Right. RITHOLTZ: Right.
And this was back in 2005 or 2006. He was one of their top clients when they were selling these bonds of slightly lower quality… RITHOLTZ: Slightly lower quality. And these guys don’t like money sitting on a shelf. And so, you actually had a study in Congress that had what might happen if we were to experience a pandemic.
That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. To find the answer, CXO collected and investigated 6,584 forecasts from 2005-2012 for the U.S. Stop with the math.`
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