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Question #10 for 2024: Will inventory increase further in 2024?

Calculated Risk

Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Starting in January 2005, I was very bearish on housing , but I wasn’t sure when the market would turn. However, the increase in inventory in late 2005 (see red arrow on graph) helped me call the top for house prices in 2006.Several

Economics 290
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Question #10 for 2023: Will inventory increase further in 2023?

Calculated Risk

Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Starting in January 2005, I was very bearish on housing , but I wasn’t sure when the market would turn. However, the increase in inventory in late 2005 (see red arrow on graph) helped me call the top for house prices in 2006.Several

Economics 264
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Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 1% in 2022 as the economy slowed following the economic rebound in 2021. Here is a table of the annual change in real GDP since 2005. Q4-over-Q4 in 2023. 2008 0.1% -2.5%

Economy 278
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Bull or Bear?

The Big Picture

The bearish signals I am gathering for next week seem to be primarily fundamental or economic in nature… Previously : Observations to Start 2023 (January 3, 2023) Groping for a Bottom (October 14, 2022) The post Bull or Bear? It is noteworthy that most of the bullish signals are market-based or technical in nature.

Retail 298
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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2024 and a few predictions: • Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. million jobs in 2023. million to 1.5

Economy 298
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Question #1 for 2024: How much will the economy grow in 2024? Will there be a recession in 2024?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for this year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 2.6% The "Art of the Soft Landing" requires that the Fed reduce rates quick enough to keep economic growth positive, and slow enough not to reignite inflation. this gives 2.4%

Economy 200
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24/7 Financial Advice

The Big Picture

What are you getting from consuming 24/7 coverage of the world of economics, markets, and finance? Lose the News (June 2005). Eventually, that program became ABC’s Nightline, which Koppel hosted until November 2005. Viewership soared… ~~~. How does all of this “free financial advice” impact your collective psyche?