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MiB: Lisa Shalett, CIO Morgan Stanley

The Big Picture

Previously, she was CEO and chairman at Sanford Bernstein, CIO at Merrill Lynch Asset Management, and now CIO at both Morgan Stanley Wealth Management and runs their asset allocation models and their outsourced chief investment officer models. Her current reading is here ; A transcript of our conversation is available here Tuesday.

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MiB: Ken Kencel, Churchill Asset Management

The Big Picture

 This week, we speak with Ken Kencel, who is president and chief executive officer of Churchill Asset Management, a private credit firm with $46 billion in assets under management that was the top US private equity lender in the 2022 PitchBook league tables and was named 2022 Lender Firm of the Year by The M&A Advisor.

Assets 173
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MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability was Never Excessive During the Recent Housing Boom

Calculated Risk

Here is the expanded series from the MBA of mortgage credit availability that includes the bubble years (2004 - 2006). Look at that huge increase in mortgage credit availability back in the 2004 - 2006 period (remember “fog a mirror, get a loan”, NINJA loans: No Income, No Job or Assets?).

Sales 260
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FDIC: Problem Banks Increased to 42 in Q3 2022

Calculated Risk

Asset Quality Metrics Were Favorable Overall Despite Growth in Early Delinquencies : Loans that were 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status (i.e., Asset Quality Metrics Were Favorable Overall Despite Growth in Early Delinquencies : Loans that were 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status (i.e., billion (11.3

Banking 246
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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in December

Calculated Risk

Luke, CFA, Head of Commodities, Real & Digital Assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices. The longest such streak occurred for over 12-years, notching 153 consecutive all-time highs from July 1993 to March 2006. National home prices have risen by 8.8% observed in 2021 and are seeing below-trend growth over the history of the index.

Economy 147
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Record 401(k) Participation at Vanguard Plans

The Big Picture

Some of the more fascinating data points from the report: – 2022 featured record-high plan participation rate of 83%, driven in large part by wider adoption of automatic enrollment; – From 2006 to 2022, automatic enrollment has tripled; – 41% of all plans offered planning & advice; Larger plans with more than 5,000 employees, (..)

Planning 289
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Lawler: Some Observations on the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Wind-Down and Reinvestment “Strategy” (Still in Quantitative Easing Mode, Just Less So)

Calculated Risk

Most of these gains in Treasury and Agency MBS assets were funded with increases in very short duration interest-bearing Federal Reserve liabilities, mainly deposits of depository institutions (reserves) and Reverse Repos. By way of comparison, Treasury bills accounted for 35% of total Fed Treasury holdings at the end of 2006.

Assets 165