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Collapse in Prospective Home Buyer Traffic

The Big Picture

The four largest drops occurred during distinct periods of economic distress: 1990 (recession), 2006-09 (GFC), 2020 (pandemic/recession), and today (FOMC 300 bp rate hike). This brings us to the chart: The one above shows the traffic of prospective buyers looking at a new home (2014- 2022); the one below goes back to the 1980s.

Budgeting 363
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The number of LinkedIn posts grew 41% from 2021 to 2023. Golf Digest ) Be sure to check out our Masters in Business with Gary Cohn , Assistant to the President for Economic Policy and Director of the National Economic Council from 2017-2018; he was President and Chief Operating Officer of The Goldman Sachs Group from 2006-2016.

Ethics 157
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10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy

The Big Picture

Sturgeon’s law suggest 300,00 of them are not crap – and that number seems generous. Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital If I told you what the economic releases for GDP and NFP were for the next 12 months, do you think it would help your trading? Statistically speaking, the vast majority of new products won’t be worth your time or money.

Investing 345
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Small Cap Value: Waiting for the Jumpstart

Validea

By Justin Carbonneau ( Twitter | LinkedIn | YouTube ) — Over the past few weeks, I’ve seen a number of charts highlighting the opportunity in small-cap stocks given their absolute and relative valuations. As you can see, small/mid-cap value has rarely been so cheap (our data goes back to 2006). Only 12.4% Only 11.7% Only 33.4%

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Market Commentary: Stocks in the Middle of Some Amazing Streaks While Job Growth Perks Up

Carson Wealth

Strong Job Numbers Are Good News for the Economy and Markets There’s been valid concern that employment conditions are deteriorating, ever so slowly. in 2006, and 7.8% The same people who keep calling for a recession (no surprise, they have a large overlap with M2 watchers) also tend to call the economic data into question.

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The Cost of Doing Parenting Business

The Irrelevant Investor

The number of babies born in the U.S. in 2018, which was a 2% decline y/o/y and and the fourth year in a row that this number fell. So 35% of the decline is due to unplanned pregnancies, which is great, but the other 65% I would imagine is mostly due to the economic hardships of raising a child.

Numbers 52
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Markets pause as investors contemplate positioning into year-end

Nationwide Financial

Technology allocations are at the most underweight since 2006. The leading economic indicator index was negative for the third-straight month, a historical flag for a looming recession. The health of the labor market is in focus with an increasing number of companies announcing intentions to reduce their workforce.