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Collapse in Prospective Home Buyer Traffic

The Big Picture

Sure, RRE/CRE is a huge part of the economy, so its health is always important. But for the purposes of our discussion about the state of the economy and rising interest rates, Real Estate is where the rubber meets the road. Rising Fed Funds Rates make capital and credit more expensive; the calculus around both debt and equity shifts.

Budgeting 363
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Update: The Inland Empire

Calculated Risk

Way back in 2006 I disagreed with some analysts on the outlook for the Inland Empire in California. The more an area is dependent on housing, the larger the negative impact on the local economy will be. And sure enough, the economies of housing dependent areas like the Inland Empire were devastated during the housing bust.

Economy 135
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10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy

The Big Picture

Along those lines, here are in chronological order, the thinkers who have helped shape how I view the world view, including how I philosophically think about the economy, markets, and investing. Sturgeon’s law suggest 300,00 of them are not crap – and that number seems generous. 10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy 1.

Investing 345
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Market Commentary: Stocks in the Middle of Some Amazing Streaks While Job Growth Perks Up

Carson Wealth

Strong Job Numbers Are Good News for the Economy and Markets There’s been valid concern that employment conditions are deteriorating, ever so slowly. If you combine wage growth with employment growth and hours worked, we get a sense of aggregate income growth across all workers in the economy. in 2006, and 7.8%

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Market Commentary: Is Anyone Bullish?

Carson Wealth

Stocks have had a great start to 2023, and the economy continues to surprise to the upside. If one of the world’s largest economies is quickly advancing, what does that do for the odds of a U.S. We are still in that camp, and an improved Chinese economy does little to change our view. The economy grew by 2.1%

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Markets pause as investors contemplate positioning into year-end

Nationwide Financial

The report reflected continued pessimism, with 73% of respondents expecting a weakening economy and 77% expecting earnings deterioration, 92% expecting “stagflation, and 0% seeing a “goldilocks” environment. Technology allocations are at the most underweight since 2006.

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Does Risk Parity Actually Work?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The general ideas being explored by a small number of market participants at this point are useful and I think we're going to see a lot more investment products and conversations about these concepts and strategies. Number 2 was to move from market cap weighting to minimum volatility equity exposure. Number 5 is to increase leverage.