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And so, a lot of my research was related to trying to uncover what were the underlying risk factors. And the place where I was looking for this risk factors was in the real economy. Is that the same default risk when stocks become very, very cheap, or is there something else at play there? VASSALOU: Pretty much.
I found this to be just a masterclass in everything you need to know about distressed credit investing, private credit, the role of the economy, the fed interest rates, inflation, bottoms up, credit picking, and how to manage a firm and a fund in light of just massive dislocations in your space, as well as the overall economy.
In The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History: 2006-2010 , published in January 2006, Dent doubled down on his earlier predictions for the 2000s and called for big gains through the rest of the decade. The DJIA did reach 35,000 in June 2021, but Dent had long been a permabear by then.
BARATTA: Wind, solar, electrifying the economy, getting off of oil and gas, and it’s all kinds of companies engaged. In 2006, ’07, ’08, you saw the financial crisis. BARATTA: A growing economy, zero cost to capital, markets compounding at 15, 16, 17 percent. You saw it in the financial services sector. RITHOLTZ: Right.
And we brought them a plan that, you know, I think, was very similar to what the banks were doing at the time, which was providing financing to private equity-owned companies, huge area of growth in the economy. middle market is the third largest economy in the world. PE, at that point, was really just developing in the middle market.
And I would say that Washington was pretty interesting because we had gone and, and spoken to people in 2005, 2006, and to kind of let people know that there was something, these are, this is a trillion dollars worth of misprice risk. We participated in that with treasury and FHFA and the regulators, the White House.
It’s, it’s no different But, but inherently in futures, a whole lot more leverage, a whole lot more risk. How fundamental was that to your learning about investing, trading riskmanagement, starting with futures? 00:29:06 [Speaker Changed] So that was 2006. We now had the securities business.
Barry Ritholtz: 00:07:19 [Speaker Changed] This was 2006, for the first time in my adult life, I had the opportunity to move away from the trees and start to see the forest Peter Atwater: 00:07:31 And to see what was happening in the mortgage space, to your point, ninja Loans, right? . Peter Atwater: 00:07:14 [Speaker Changed] Right.
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