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All-Time Highs Are Historically Bullish

The Big Picture

Going back to 1954, markets are always higher one year later – the only exception was 2007. Ask yourself this: Is 2024 more akin to 2007, or most other markets where new all-time highs were made? Check out the table above, via Warren Pies. He spoke with Batnick and Josh earlier this month.

Economics 349
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Can Anyone Catch Nokia?

The Big Picture

” It was posted online October 26, 2007 — 15 years ago today. In 2007, the very same year of the Nokia Forbes cover, Apple rolled out the iPhone; not long after, the decline of Nokia’s mobile phone business began. Forbes, Oct 26, 2007. Or, they were simply unable to make the turn. Predictions and Forecasts.

Economy 364
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7th Inning Stretch

The Big Picture

Events such as the tech/dotcom implosion, the double low in Oct 2002 and March 2003, the Great Financial Crisis in late 2007/early 2008, the lows in March 2009, and more recently, the 2020 pandemic. Genius bottom tick (2007-09): . Buying on the way down and on the way up (2007-09): .

Marketing 306
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1.51 million Total Housing Completions in 2022 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007

Calculated Risk

million Total Housing Completions in 2022 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007 Excerpt: Although total housing starts decreased 3.0% However, there still were 1.507 million total completions and placements in 2021, the most since 2007. Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: 1.51 thousand in 2-to-4 units, and 360.4

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1.54 million Total Housing Completions in 2023 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007

Calculated Risk

million Total Housing Completions in 2023 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007 Excerpt: Although total housing starts decreased 9.0% However, there still were 1.543 million total completions and placements in 2023, the most since 2007. from 1.390 million in 2022, and also the most since 2007.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

morningstar.com) The spread between the 10-year Treasury and the dividend yield on the S&P 500 is at its highest level since 2007. (thereformedbroker.com) Five common portfolio mistakes including 'portfolio sprawl.' capitalspectator.com) Fund fees really do matter. bilello.blog) Focus on the role bonds play in your portfolio.

Portfolio 277
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The S&P 500 topped out in early October 2007 and bottomed in March 2009. On a price-only basis, the index didn’t reach those 2007 highs again until March 2013: ( Wealth of Common Sense ). • Like many things in the market, there aren’t any hard and fast rules for this kind of thing, especially in real-time.