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If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. But as we’ve been writing all year, we do not see a recession coming and with inflation back to manageable levels, there was simply no reason to have interest rates up over 5%. on average.
At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, ultimately, given the different types of clients segments that I’d covered, I made the decision that I really wanted to be in wealth management. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. BITTERLY MICHELL: Always risk. RITHOLTZ: Right.
Are most people better off in an index fund than playing with an active manager, be it mutual fund or high fee hedge funds? SEIDES: John Yeah, I said back then, the bet started in 2007 and I say today, being in the market and investing in hedge funds is completely apples and oranges. This is the summer of 2007. RITHOLTZ: 2007.
And the third, the one that nobody talks about is riskmanagement. Riskmanagement. And so that’s not just, we talk about riskmanagement in terms of buying at a big discount to intrinsic value and then that gives you that capital sort of buffer. You joined in 2007, what led you there?
In the short run, there can be distortions in public market valuations as we saw in 2001 and we saw prior to that in 2007, and prior to that in 2000, in ‘99. You know, we bought Hilton in June of 2007. We find great management teams. It changed the way we communicated with each other. BARATTA: Yeah. In the long run.
So a very different dynamic than we saw back in 2007, 2008, 2009. So obviously, riskmanagers, you know, and CROs were very focused on how do we manage that risk and diversify that credit risk that they were taking on in mid-market companies. Yes, there’s a lot of liquidity in private equity.
And so the other thing is, is that, and I think it’s our core riskmanagement culture, is that we think that till risk is way more probable than everyone else does. So, so one of the problems is once you see something like that, you kind of look for them everywhere. Now in the US we tracked the home ownership rate.
I take him through the presentation and he’s not a very sort of friendly or communicative guy and he just stares blankly to me as I’m going through this presentation and the halfway through the presentation, he just gets up and leaves. BROWDER: I just gone the riskmanagement committee. I go over to Salomon.
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