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Just three years ago, business owners were reeling from the swift and significant economic impact of the pandemic. As a financial professional, you can be a reassuring voice – and potentially aid in helping them address the impacts of economic volatility – as we brace for turmoil ahead. have been mild to moderate.
If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. But as we’ve been writing all year, we do not see a recession coming and with inflation back to manageable levels, there was simply no reason to have interest rates up over 5%. on average.
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. BITTERLY MICHELL: Always risk. RITHOLTZ: Right.
Are most people better off in an index fund than playing with an active manager, be it mutual fund or high fee hedge funds? SEIDES: John Yeah, I said back then, the bet started in 2007 and I say today, being in the market and investing in hedge funds is completely apples and oranges. This is the summer of 2007. RITHOLTZ: 2007.
I want to get into that before we start talking about asset management. A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. And you do a lot of work with infinity [Barry Ritholtz] : 00:03:29 [Speaker Changed] And then economics, which is a little bit squishier.
I found this to be just a masterclass in everything you need to know about distressed credit investing, private credit, the role of the economy, the fed interest rates, inflation, bottoms up, credit picking, and how to manage a firm and a fund in light of just massive dislocations in your space, as well as the overall economy.
In the short run, there can be distortions in public market valuations as we saw in 2001 and we saw prior to that in 2007, and prior to that in 2000, in ‘99. You see these things before they start to show up in the economic data. So we share themes and we share these economic signals. You know, we bought Hilton in June of 2007.
So a very different dynamic than we saw back in 2007, 2008, 2009. So obviously, riskmanagers, you know, and CROs were very focused on how do we manage that risk and diversify that credit risk that they were taking on in mid-market companies. Yes, there’s a lot of liquidity in private equity.
So in this, in this context of, of a mortgage now being clear to everyone that this default risk is present, it’s real, and it’s hard to price because following the borrower’s economic profile, there, there are defaults that are related to just life events, but there’s also defaults related to a macroeconomic event.
in Economics from Chicago and MBA from Stanford. BROWDER: I just gone the riskmanagement committee. There was the vice chairman of the company, the senior managing directors, managing directors, senior directors, directors, vice presidents and me, I was the lowest ranking guy in the whole room. You have a B.A.
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