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At the Money: Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President on Tariffs, Inflation and Monetary Policy

The Big Picture

Look, this, this is a t tangled, uh, this is a tangled web, uh, that is critically important to, to the economy. Um, and so I, I think in a higher rate environment, if you’re trying to cool the economy, this is always true. Than they were say in 2007, um, have meant that changing rates can have more of a lock-in effect than.

Economy 162
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Market Extra: Government bonds held at banks may be so-called ‘toxic asset’ of next financial crisis, fund manager says

MarketWatch

NINJA loans) were the problem in the GFC [2007-2008 Great Financial Crisis], whereas the ‘toxic’ asset in the [next] crisis would be government bonds!” Banks are one of the most prominent players in the financial market with a need to put capital in a safe place. It is rather notable that toxic loans (e.g.

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Market Commentary: A New Bull Market is Here

Carson Wealth

Now with stocks up 20%, they have officially entered a new bull market and the 2022 bear is over. Stocks have officially entered a new bull market, increasing the odds of continued strength. Carson’s leading economic index indicates the economy is not in a recession. economy.

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No Pain, No Gain

Investing Caffeine

Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% As Albert Einstein stated, “In the middle of every difficulty lies an opportunity.”.

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Is Inflation Coming Back?

The Irrelevant Investor

But if we've learned anything since the great financial crisis, it's that the amount of money in circulation does not necessarily cause inflation. Inflation might be the least understood area in all of financial markets. This chart supports their intuition. We still don't really know what drives it.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Are Quite Resilient

Carson Wealth

Recent sentiment polls show a high number of bears while worries about the economy and earnings continue to expand. Although it might not feel like it, there are many reasons to expect stocks to bounce back and markets to improve. This is the ninth straight rate increase and brings rates to their highest level since 2007.

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Resilience is Core to Sustainable Portfolio Construction

Brown Advisory

In the industrials space, we tend to shy away from deeply cyclical commoditized businesses and see resilience in companies that typically benefit from a meaningful after-market component or subscription-like revenues from maintenance or service contracts, e.g. Others such as U.S. 4 Source: FactSet® and Brown Advisory calculations.