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My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. economy is doing well, why do so many Americans say it’s terrible? 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis 7.
I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. RITHOLTZ: Applied Mathematics, Quants, those guys, yeah.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
Both 2021 and 2022 each had 14 upsets; there were 10 upsets in 2023 and nine in 2024, if only three in 2007. Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 Between 1985 and 2024, there were 8.5 upsets per tournament (4.7
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. You joined in 2007, what led you there? It gets further and further away the D P U go.
I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. 00:21:26 [Speaker Changed] In isolation quality on average gives you downside protection, certainly did in 2007, eight for example. Learn math, learn history.
And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon. the current blowup) -20% so far What’s your guess?
Long Now Foundation ) The hardest-working font in Manhattan : In 2007, on my first trip to New York City, I grabbed a brand-new DSLR camera and photographed all the fonts I was supposed to love. Economy Depends More Than Ever on Rich People : The highest-earning 10% of Americans have increased their spending far beyond inflation.
Metro station during rush hour in 2007, playing some of the masterworks of the classical repertoire on a 1713 Stradivarius for which he is reported to have paid $3.5 Moreover, “proof” in science in inductive and doesn’t have the deductive certainty that it can in math. Humans have split atoms and spliced genes.
They 00:38:39 [Speaker Changed] Price insensitive, they 00:38:41 [Speaker Changed] Right, they cared what the lower mortgage rate did to the economy. Over time, the home ownership rate’s grown to sort of mid sixties and bobble around it got really, really high when we were giving away mortgages in 2007.
I would say the thing that connects them is just voracious curiosity about the world of politics and, you know, economies and trying to make sense out of it. I had just gotten married in the fall of 2007. So here’s the math, Barry. I do think when I look for analysts today, I look for interesting backgrounds.
The Atlantic asks Are Stock Buybacks Starving the Economy ? These sort of numbers will always grind higher as the economy grows over time. Tech companies, the companies making the most money and conducting huge buybacks are in fact spending 18% of their revenue on R&D and Cap-ex, up from 13% in 2007.
In 2007, firms extracted — the private equity firms extracted $20 billion from companies in the form of dividend recapitalizations. I think in 2007, we had 24 square feet per capita versus Europe, which was like 14, and Japan, which was like 9. An economy does better if the most people are prosperous, right? RITHOLTZ: Wow.
As always, I lead with Wall Street, the markets, and the economy, the objects of my day job. In 2007, Steve Ballmer, then the CEO of Microsoft, said , “There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. 2024 wasn’t any different. How will the market perform? billion users.
So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. And so, in the 23rd of December 2007, two days before Christmas, they applied for $230 million fraudulent tax refund. How many do you have in your fleet? It is $2 billion on the ship.
A good example of that is like you take something from a cognitive reflection testy or something — like — I’ll make it real simple so we don’t have to like do the weird math on this. MCRANEY: Maybe like 2008, 2007, around there. RITHOLTZ: Right. RITHOLTZ: Okay. is a laggard. MCRANEY: Yes.
You know, anything you dug into was a story that would tell you something about power and the trajectory of, of the Chinese economy. I love the Washington Post, but I thought, well, I better do this sleepy story, the national economy. It’s the fall of 2007. Where are they selling their product? That could be significant.
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