Remove 2007 Remove Math Remove Retirement
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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

When you get it wrong, it crushes your retirement plans. My own track record at making big calls is pretty damned good, but none of our clients wants me slinging around their retirement monies based on my gut instinct. The dotcom top, the double bottom in Oct 02-March 03; the highs in 2007, the lows 2009. More on this later.

Marketing 304
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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. If you’re depending on income to fund your retirement, 5% rates are a blessing. 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis 7.

Insurance 130
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Bernstein on Bulletproof

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. Remember, the peak in the S&P 500 in October, 2007 was 1565. He makes a good point about not relying solely on math to assess markets and portfolio construction, that the psychology of markets is important too.

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Throw It All Out And Start Over?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

There was a lot of content from various places over the weekend about whether it is time to go back into bonds, what retired investors should do for yield and even whether retirees are better off going 100% into equities. As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% Barron's also noted that 60/40 was up 9.6% in November.

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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. SALISBURY: Sure. SALISBURY: Yes. SALISBURY: Yes.

Assets 299
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

The Big Picture

I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. RITHOLTZ: Applied Mathematics, Quants, those guys, yeah.

Clients 299
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Finally, a Stock Market Crash!

Mr. Money Mustache

Even Mr. Money Mustache, as a person who retired 17 years ago, is still in this boat for the simple reason that my retirement income from dividends and hobby businesses is still greater than my annual living expenses (which still hover around $20,000 per year). 3) Okay, but I really am retired and trying to live off my investments now.