The Big Picture

MARCH 3, 2023

Meaning, you do not get the 8-10% long-term gains without living through a significant number of market events, ranging from cyclical drawdowns to longer secular bear markets, and full-on crashes. As Batnick points out, all of these horrendous periods of market pain are already factored into long-term returns of equities.

Marketing 336

Marketing Marketing Economics Portfolio 336

Calculated Risk

APRIL 25, 2024

The NCHS reports: The provisional number of births for the United States in 2023 was 3,591,328, down 2% from 2022. Births peaked in 2007 and have generally declined since then. From the National Center for Health Statistics: Births: Provisional Data for 2023. The general fertility rate was 54.4 The total fertility rate was 1,616.5

Numbers 119

Numbers 119

Calculated Risk

MAY 3, 2024

The headline jobs number in the April employment report was below expectations, and February and March payrolls were revised down by 22,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.5 million, changed little in April. million from 4.31

Numbers 127

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 127

Calculated Risk

JUNE 7, 2024

The headline jobs number in the May employment report was well above expectations, however March and April payrolls were revised down by 15,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.4 million, changed little in May. million from 4.47

Numbers 127

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 127

Calculated Risk

APRIL 5, 2024

The headline jobs number in the March employment report was above expectations; and January and February payrolls were revised up by 22,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.3 million, changed little in March. million from 4.36

Numbers 127

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 127

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 2, 2024

The headline jobs number in the July employment report was below expectations, and May and June payrolls were revised down by 29,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons rose by 346,000 to 4.6 million in July. million from 4.22 million in June.

Numbers 127

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 127

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 4, 2024

The headline jobs number in the September employment report was well above expectations, and July and August payrolls were revised up by 72,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons changed little at 4.6 million in September. million a year earlier.

Numbers 122

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 122

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 6, 2023

The headline jobs number in the September employment report was well above expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised up by 119,000, combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.1 million, changed little in September.

Numbers 124

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 124

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 5, 2024

The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 71,000, combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.2 million from 3.99 million in November.

Retail 120

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 120

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 6, 2024

The headline jobs number in the August employment report was below expectations, and June and July payrolls were revised down by 82,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons was little changed at 4.8 million in August. This measure is up from 4.2

Numbers 110

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 110

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

The headline jobs number in the October employment report was below expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised down by 101,000, combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.3 million, changed little in October.

Retail 133

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 133

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 8, 2023

The headline jobs number in the November employment report was at expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 35,000, combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons decreased by 295,000 to 4.0 million in November.

Retail 126

Retail Numbers Economics Manufacturing 126

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 1, 2024

The headline jobs number in the October employment report was below expectations, and August and September payrolls were revised down by 112,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons was little changed at 4.6 million in October. million from 4.62

Retail 111

Retail Numbers Economics Sales 111

Fortune Financial

OCTOBER 14, 2024

It has been my experience when reviewing portfolios that diversification is typically expressed simply as a number of various stocks owned, or owning a handful of asset classes, usually stocks of various sizes and geographies, and bonds of varying maturities.

Asset Allocation 131

Asset Allocation Government Financial Advisor Portfolio 131

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 25, 2023

This dates back to 2007, when the RBI was dealing with a strange issue. A large number of hairdressers were using these razor blades. It was because of the illegal smuggling to Bangladesh. Smugglers used to export these coins to Bangladesh. One single coin could be turned into six blades, and each blade could be sold for Rs 2.

Government 111

Government Banking Distribution Numbers 111

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

Schroders ) • The Exact Age When You Make Your Best Financial Decisions There’s a magic number for when your expertise and cognitive powers align. 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis 7. There’s been explosive growth in the number of cases of the disease since Lymerix was pulled from the market more than two decades ago.

Insurance 130

Insurance Math Economics Economy 130

Calculated Risk

MARCH 26, 2023

This data has limited value in terms of absolute numbers, but is useful in looking at trends. in 2007 and has fallen to under 10% now, and the DSR for mortgages (blue) are near the lowest level for the last 35 years. The Mortgage DSR and the Consumer DSR sum to the DSR. Click on graph for larger image.

Numbers 97

Numbers 97

Calculated Risk

JULY 5, 2024

The headline jobs number in the June employment report was above expectations, however April and May payrolls were revised down by 111,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.2 million, changed little in June. million from 4.42

Numbers 84

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 84

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 2, 2024

The headline jobs number in the January employment report was well above expectations, and November and December payrolls were revised up by 126,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " In January, the number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.4 Including revisions: The 3.06

Numbers 87

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 87

MarketWatch

JUNE 20, 2023

Shares of home builders were broadly higher Tuesday, with a number of them trading in record territory, after data showing a strong and surprising increase in the construction of new homes. toward the highest close since February 2007. The iShares U.S. Home Construction exchange-traded fund ITB climbed 0.8% s TOL stock rallied 1.5%

Numbers 75

Numbers Marketing Marketing 75

Good Financial Cents

AUGUST 14, 2023

The creator(s) of this first-of-its-kind asset developed the cryptocurrency in response to the Great Recession of 2007-2009 , spurred by a distrust of the traditional banking system and concerns about its stability. Initial Price Number of Bitcoins purchased Final Value 10 years (2013-2023) $13.30 2007 – -16.38 0.0602 $1,765.11

Assets 119

Assets Investing Investments Numbers 119

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

MARCH 16, 2023

This caused a fear over the weekend that we might see a repeat of 2007-2009. This explainer will lay out what happened, what the response was and why this is not like 2007-2009. Is this like 2007-2009? What happened at Silicon Valley Bank (and the other banks that failed): An old-fashioned bank run! In our view, no.

Banking 98

Banking Insurance Assets Startup 98

Truemind Capital

FEBRUARY 23, 2024

Thinking about all this, I felt I had read about this and observed it in 2007. During times of euphoria and bubbles, a huge number of retail investors want to invest in the stock market. I am also seeing an increasing exposure to equity even in those portfolios where investors have a very low-risk appetite.

Asset Allocation 98

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Assets 98

Calculated Risk

MARCH 8, 2024

The headline jobs number in the February employment report was above expectations; however, December and January payrolls were revised down by 167,000 combined. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.4 million, changed little in February. million from 4.42

Numbers 69

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 69

Validea

OCTOBER 12, 2023

This generation’s fortune-teller has been Michael Burry, who called the 2007-2008 housing bubble burst early on. Unlike a lot of pundits, Burry risked his own money on his 2007 housing call and other stock picks that delivered high rewards. His firm Scion bought puts on two popular index funds, betting on a looming downturn.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Media 52

The Big Picture

MAY 9, 2023

He co-chairs a number of the asset management investment committees. So I interviewed with a bunch of banks, got a number of job offers by the end of the week, and joined Goldman Sachs in October 1998. I ended up being hired onto the high yield desk as a research analyst and did that for a number of years, a couple of years.

Assets 299

Assets Clients Investments Investing 299

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

When I first was using a managed futures fund for clients, so talking 2007 or so, I stumbled into the idea that part of the past success came from interest earned on T-bills. Managed futures goes long and short some number of futures contracts that are collateralized by cash and cash equivalents like very short term T-bills.

Assets 74

Assets Clients Management Accounting 74

Validea

JULY 20, 2022

Looking at the number of trading days within a trailing month of both these indexes falling into their respective bottoms, it stands at 23.8%—far far below the level of previous market bottoms such as 2007-09 when it hit 81%. And currently, those benchmarks are several percentage points higher than those numbers.

Marketing 59

Marketing Marketing Distribution Numbers 59

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 13, 2022

But make no mistake: These are robust numbers, and the big picture is that 3.8 The highest it got to during the 2003–2007 expansion was 80.3%. Payroll growth has certainly slowed over the last few months, from 537,000 in July to 315,000 in August and then 263,000 in September. Initial unemployment benefit claims are near record lows.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Insurance Economy 98

The Irrelevant Investor

MARCH 7, 2017

The S&P 500 fell 57.69% from October 2007 to March 2009, but real earnings fell even more, from a high of $98.43 in June 2007 to a low of $8.01 and replaced the next 75 months with that number (that's how long it took to get back above $98.43). in April 2009, a 91.86% decline. I wish this were the case.

Numbers 52

Numbers Investing Investments Marketing 52

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 23, 2024

If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. Yes, 2001 and 2007 are in there, as you’ve probably heard many times the past week if you’ve watched financial media at all. First things first, why are they cutting? on average.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 96

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. One, we also saw a record number of credit card openings in Q1 and Q2. I was econ and kind of geeky.

Clients 299

Clients Wealth Management Banking Investing 299

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 5, 2024

Starting back in 2007 or 2008 I wrote about his barbell portfolio idea that goes very high risk with 10% of the portfolio in search of asymmetric returns and then very conservative with the other 90%. The numbers for Portfolios 1 and 3 add up to 105% because I am replicating 5% into a 2x bitcoin fund.

Portfolio 91

Portfolio Retail Investing Investments 91

The Irrelevant Investor

JUNE 12, 2021

In the spring of 2013, the S&P 500 made a new all-time high for the first time since October 2007. Around that time, I remember seeing people use the b-word to describe what was happening. The chart below, which shows Google searches for " Stock market bubble ," validates my memory.

Advertising 52

Advertising Numbers Marketing Marketing 52

Calculated Risk

MAY 29, 2023

The other two times were in early 2007 (housing bust / financial crisis), and in March 2020 (pandemic). All of these events are possible, but they are unpredictable, and the probabilities are low that they will happen in the next few years or even decades. 2) Significant policy error.

Sales 145

Sales Economy Banking Economics 145

The Irrelevant Investor

OCTOBER 8, 2015

As assets have exploded, so too has the number of strategic-beta ETPs, which have grown from 673 to 844 in the past year, while assets grew 25% to $497 billion. Every one of these Smart Beta strategies has outperformed the S&P 500 from 2007-today**. The earliest common date for these five products is 2007.

Assets 52

Assets Investments Investing Accounting 52

The Irrelevant Investor

MARCH 5, 2022

(With Lex Fridman and Mark Zuckerberg) I don't think we're finding a substitute for copper (With Patrick O'Shaughnessy and Eric Mandelblatt) You wanna be number one in everything you do (With Bill Simmons and Michael Rubin) This is the first case of financial warfare (With Derek Thompson and Robin Wigglesworth) Books The problems had begun in 2007, (..)

Economy 52

Economy Numbers Portfolio Marketing 52