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But what was interesting about that was the quick need to both separate the portfolio between the old stuff and the new stuff, because there were a lot of new investment opportunities. So you’re Chief Investment officer of Asset and Wealth Management. We just get to focus on assets and asset riskmanagement.
If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. But as we’ve been writing all year, we do not see a recession coming and with inflation back to manageable levels, there was simply no reason to have interest rates up over 5%. on average.
At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, ultimately, given the different types of clients segments that I’d covered, I made the decision that I really wanted to be in wealth management. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. BITTERLY MICHELL: Always risk. RITHOLTZ: Right.
That’s the biggest yearly profit scored by a hedge fund manager ever, beating John Paulson’s 2007 $15 billion record. The top 20 managers of 2022 made gains of $22.4 billion net of fees, according to a report published by LCH Investments that is cited in the article, which also estimates that managers garnered a 3.4%
Though inflation remains the most significant perceived risk for business owners, more than two-thirds expect a recession before the end of 2023. And of those expecting a recession, the majority believe it will be as bad or worse than the Great Recession of 2007-2009. It’s important to remember that most recessions in the U.S.
That’s a really easy portfolio to create. It allows you to understand, generally speaking, what is a reasonable beta for that whole portfolio. The other thing it allows you to do is to benchmark your ability to select managers that outperform both in each areas and across the sleeve. This is the summer of 2007.
And the third, the one that nobody talks about is riskmanagement. Riskmanagement. And so that’s not just, we talk about riskmanagement in terms of buying at a big discount to intrinsic value and then that gives you that capital sort of buffer. You joined in 2007, what led you there?
But there’s also a lot of, like at Wittel, you know, I was at Wachtel in 2005 to 2007, so really near the peak of a big merger’s boom. It was derivatives math, it was like working with the traders on like riskmanagement. And I love that. I thought that was really fun. So I was very interested in that stuff.
I found this to be just a masterclass in everything you need to know about distressed credit investing, private credit, the role of the economy, the fed interest rates, inflation, bottoms up, credit picking, and how to manage a firm and a fund in light of just massive dislocations in your space, as well as the overall economy.
In the short run, there can be distortions in public market valuations as we saw in 2001 and we saw prior to that in 2007, and prior to that in 2000, in ‘99. How do you use all of this data that’s generated by all of your portfolio companies to navigate the world at large? BARATTA: Yeah. In the long run. We can’t do that.
So a very different dynamic than we saw back in 2007, 2008, 2009. So obviously, riskmanagers, you know, and CROs were very focused on how do we manage that risk and diversify that credit risk that they were taking on in mid-market companies. Yes, there’s a lot of liquidity in private equity.
Blueprint worked with Parker from when Parker ran strategies as a hedge fund and has been a believer in the importance of trend and managed futures for a while. When they talked about portfolio allocations he said they want to have enough in managed futures to have an impact on the portfolio. and and VBAIX is 0.69.
So that’s an active part of portfolio trimming and opt and optimization. The good news is no one event has a big impact on the portfolio. And so the other thing is, is that, and I think it’s our core riskmanagement culture, is that we think that till risk is way more probable than everyone else does.
BROWDER: I just gone the riskmanagement committee. The currency devalued by 75 percent and my portfolio, which was above $1 billion, went down 90 percent. And this had an unbelievably positive affect on the value of my portfolio. RITHOLTZ: Wow. I got you $25 million to invest in Russia. This is unbelievable.
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