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As a Retirement Income Certified Professional and a Life and Annuities Certified Professional, John advises clients on retirement planning, investment planning, and riskmanagement. His primary focus is to help people align their financial decisions with their values and truths to live enriching lives.
If they are cutting due to a panic (think March 2020) or due to a recession (like in 2001 or 2007) potential trouble could indeed be lurking. But as we’ve been writing all year, we do not see a recession coming and with inflation back to manageable levels, there was simply no reason to have interest rates up over 5%. on average.
That’s the biggest yearly profit scored by a hedge fund manager ever, beating John Paulson’s 2007 $15 billion record. The top 20 managers of 2022 made gains of $22.4 billion net of fees, according to a report published by LCH Investments that is cited in the article, which also estimates that managers garnered a 3.4%
We just get to focus on assets and asset riskmanagement. So earlier we were talking about assets, and then you referenced riskmanagement. RITHOLTZ: Tell us a little bit about the difference between managingrisk and merely owning assets. And also, I used to sit back and think, this is great.
Though inflation remains the most significant perceived risk for business owners, more than two-thirds expect a recession before the end of 2023. And of those expecting a recession, the majority believe it will be as bad or worse than the Great Recession of 2007-2009. It’s important to remember that most recessions in the U.S.
If you convinced somebody in the fall of 2007 that this was the right way to invest, they'd have a bone to pick with you, as they'd watch U.S. Risk is never not present. Just because riskmanagement didn't pay off today, doesn't mean it won't tomorrow. Buy and hold isn't a perfect strategy. Back to today.
At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, ultimately, given the different types of clients segments that I’d covered, I made the decision that I really wanted to be in wealth management. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. BITTERLY MICHELL: Always risk. RITHOLTZ: Right.
Are most people better off in an index fund than playing with an active manager, be it mutual fund or high fee hedge funds? SEIDES: John Yeah, I said back then, the bet started in 2007 and I say today, being in the market and investing in hedge funds is completely apples and oranges. This is the summer of 2007. RITHOLTZ: 2007.
And the third, the one that nobody talks about is riskmanagement. Riskmanagement. And so that’s not just, we talk about riskmanagement in terms of buying at a big discount to intrinsic value and then that gives you that capital sort of buffer. You joined in 2007, what led you there?
But there’s also a lot of, like at Wittel, you know, I was at Wachtel in 2005 to 2007, so really near the peak of a big merger’s boom. It was derivatives math, it was like working with the traders on like riskmanagement. And I love that. I thought that was really fun. So I was very interested in that stuff.
I found this to be just a masterclass in everything you need to know about distressed credit investing, private credit, the role of the economy, the fed interest rates, inflation, bottoms up, credit picking, and how to manage a firm and a fund in light of just massive dislocations in your space, as well as the overall economy.
In the short run, there can be distortions in public market valuations as we saw in 2001 and we saw prior to that in 2007, and prior to that in 2000, in ‘99. You know, we bought Hilton in June of 2007. We find great management teams. There’s some like riskmanagement things that you always need to be mindful of.
So a very different dynamic than we saw back in 2007, 2008, 2009. So obviously, riskmanagers, you know, and CROs were very focused on how do we manage that risk and diversify that credit risk that they were taking on in mid-market companies. Yes, there’s a lot of liquidity in private equity.
The tendency toward negative correlation has certainly held up more often than not in my time with managed futures going back to 2007 when RYMFX first started trading as Rydex Managed Futures. This gets us to the title of the post and Robinson's comments around how much to allocate to managed futures.
And so the other thing is, is that, and I think it’s our core riskmanagement culture, is that we think that till risk is way more probable than everyone else does. So, so one of the problems is once you see something like that, you kind of look for them everywhere. Now in the US we tracked the home ownership rate.
BROWDER: I just gone the riskmanagement committee. What Sergei had learned from his investigation was that after our companies were stolen, the people who stole our companies went back to the tax authorities on 23rd of December 2007 and they said there was a mistake made in the previous year tax filing. RITHOLTZ: Wow.
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