Calculated Risk

MAY 14, 2024

The New York Fed also issued an accompanying Liberty Street Economics blog post examining credit card utilization and its relationship with delinquency. An increasing number of borrowers missed credit card payments, revealing worsening financial distress among some households.” trillion at the end of March. rise from 2023Q4.

Economics 305

Economics Retail Banking Accounting 305

The Big Picture

JULY 27, 2022

I have detailed over the past decade or so the lagging nature of wages in America — deflationary in economic terms — and how that had begun to change in the late 2010s pre-pandemic. By any measure, we still have an enormous number of unfilled positions. It’s just off the peak, but still extremely high by any measure.

Medicine 331

Medicine Numbers Food Insurance 331

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 20, 2023

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2023). And that means prices probably won’t decline sharply like in 2008 when prices fell about 12% according to the Case-Shiller National Index. I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet, but enough).

Economics 189

Economics Sales Economy Food 189

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 7, 2022

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The state of the economy on Election Day, explained in 6 numbers : Rising prices have weighed heavily on the minds of voters who will soon determine the outcome of elections across the country. ( New York Times ). • Global Biodiversity: A Stable Ecosystem Yields Stable Economics : The U.N. . •

Nonprofit 278

Nonprofit Asset Allocation Economy Economics 278

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 12, 2023

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Job losses in construction haven't started yet because a record number of housing units are under construction. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2023 and a few predictions: • Question #2 for 2023: How much will job growth slow in 2023?

Economy 235

Economy Economics Sales Numbers 235

A Wealth of Common Sense

SEPTEMBER 11, 2022

Following the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 a number of macro doom-and-gloomers began predicting a collapse of the U.S. It was an appealing narrative if you were someone stuck in the negative feedback loop of the biggest economic crash since the Great Depression. The Fed was “printing” trillions of dollars.

Numbers 145

Numbers Economics 145

The Big Picture

MARCH 13, 2024

And there’s a fair number of people who say 70%, two thirds of the stock market without any risk at all, market risk that is – sign me up for that. It’s a number that’s put out every Thursday for the previous week. That is, over the last 50 years, an extraordinarily low number. It’s a state program.

Numbers 288

Numbers Insurance Economy Marketing 288

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

The last time the S&P 500 fell more than 1% in November was in 2008, and it has been higher 11 of the past 12 years. However, this shouldn’t be a big surprise because we knew Hurricanes Milton and Helene would weigh on the numbers. But those numbers are backward looking. We just didn’t know how much.

Marketing 95

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 95

Trade Brains

DECEMBER 28, 2023

Unusual Economic Indicators : You might have heard about indicators like the Big Mac Index (if you haven’t, you can read our previous article). Today, we’ll introduce you to some unusual economic indicators that might predict the economic conditions. Most Unusual Economic Indicators 1. What is it? What is the proof?

Economy 64

Economy Economics Sales Government 64

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 10, 2022

Question of the Day Q: Did the beat the street numbers put a Fed pivot back in play? The yield on the two-year Treasury note fell to 4.32% from 4.63%, the biggest one-day decline since 2008 The 10-year yield fell to 3.83% from 4.15%, the biggest one-day drop since 2009. percent year over year. Actual was 0.4 month over month vs 0.7

Marketing 181

Marketing Marketing Food Numbers 181

Carson Wealth

MARCH 3, 2025

Those other times we saw fear similar to this were times like the recession and near bear market of 1990, October 2008 and March 2009 during the Great Financial Crisis, and the end of the bear market in 2022. And lower exports are a drag on US economic growth. These numbers are well ahead of the pace of inflation.

Marketing 74

Marketing Marketing Government Economy 74

Nationwide Financial

MARCH 27, 2023

Over the past four weeks, money markets have added $300 billion, on par with surges in 2008 and 2020, bringing the total to a record $5.1 If market conditions were what they are now back in 2008, the equity market would have been under severe stress. Lost in the focus on global banking issues were some encouraging economic data.

Banking 98

Banking Marketing Marketing Economics 98

Dear Mr. Market

APRIL 2, 2025

However, shifting economic conditions, a potential rate-cut cycle, and valuation opportunities have created a renewed focus on small and mid-cap stocks, particularly in financials and energy. This bracket focuses on who benefits most when the Russia-Ukraine war ends and economic rebuilding begins.

Investing 78

Investing Investments Valuation Advertising 78

The Better Letter

MARCH 27, 2025

MLB was last to the instant replay party, finally adding it to check on home runs on August 28, 2008, nine years after Frank Pulli dipped his toe into the water. Over more than a decade (2008-2019), Major League home-plate umpires made every pitch call correctly on one team roughly twice per season. The NBA followed suit in 2002.

Accounting 60

Accounting Food Retirement Electronics 60

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 12, 2023

Nifty 50 first hit 10,000 on July 26, 2017, and it took more than 21 years to double that number. For many people, 20,000 is not just a number; but happiness for many. 2008 – Global financial crisis The 2008 financial crisis was known as the biggest disaster after The Great Depression. on July 20, of this year.

Numbers 59

Numbers Economy Economics Government 59

Carson Wealth

JULY 8, 2024

These numbers can and will be revised, and so it helps to look at the 3-month average. That number has been trending down since earlier this year, but it’s at a healthy 177,000 right now, above the 166,000 average pace in 2019. Not exactly weak (the hiring rate collapsed below 3% during the 2008-2009 recession), but not too hot either.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 97

Trade Brains

DECEMBER 27, 2022

24th October 2008 US Financial Crisis 1070 10.95%. 21st January 2008 US Financial Crisis 1408 7.40%. 17th March 2008 US Financial Crisis 951 6.03%. — The 2008 Financial Crisis. The 2008 financial crisis was known as the biggest disaster after The Great Depression. Crash Date Event Points Lost % Lost.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Government 52

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

JULY 8, 2022

The most widely accepted definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, as measured by GDP. However, more recently, the description has expanded to include other economic criteria, including depth, diffusion, and duration. Recessions create an unpredictable economic environment. annualized.

Economics 59

Economics Financial Advisor Economy Portfolio 59

The Big Picture

AUGUST 16, 2022

And if you’re able to do that in a diverse number of markets and asset classes, while managing risk in the markets that aren’t trending, you know, that’s in general how trend following works. How do you contextualize the economic data and the broad stamp recession when you’re thinking about managing risk?

Management 305

Management Assets Risk Management Marketing 305

David Nelson

AUGUST 22, 2022

To date the only evidence, we have that this is working is a single set of inflation numbers showing a slight downtick in the headline numbers. The low reading in June matches levels we’ve seen in many bear markets but not what we saw during the Financial Crisis of 2008 or the Covid Lows of 2020. and today is over 41%.

Numbers 98

Numbers Marketing Marketing Valuation 98

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 30, 2023

While economic growth may have peaked in the third quarter, we expect the economy to remain supportive. Keep in mind the trajectory of economic growth was not a given, considering the scale of the shocks. percentage points to the headline number. Stocks continue to struggle, but that is not abnormal for this time of year.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 96

Validea

SEPTEMBER 6, 2023

By Justin Carbonneau ( Twitter | LinkedIn | YouTube ) — Over the past few weeks, I’ve seen a number of charts highlighting the opportunity in small-cap stocks given their absolute and relative valuations. There are a number of risk-based drivers that explain some of the valuation spreads that currently exist. Only 12.4%

Valuation 64

Valuation Numbers Economics Investing 64

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

I had my first child in June of 2008. Now, the first half of 2008, I was doing pretty well in the fund. But of course, I didn’t know the world was gonna meltdown in 2008. I bought Priceline on November 1st, 2008. And we would go on to sell that business to Microsoft in 2008. I think I was up 20 or 25%, right?

Investing 246

Investing Investments Startup Accounting 246

The Irrelevant Investor

JULY 21, 2015

Fuson is from the old school and thinks there are some things numbers just can’t tell you that intuition can. Baseball isn’t just numbers. They don’t have our experience and they don’t have our intuition. ” “Okay” “You got a kid in there that’s got a degree in economics from Yale. It’s not science. Failing to admit you’re wrong?

Numbers 52

Numbers Investing Investments Economics 52

Mauldin Economics

JUNE 11, 2021

Louis Gave, co-founder and CEO of Gavekal Research, recently said that most economic activity is simply transformed energy of one sort or another. Source: Gavekal You can see in the chart above how wages dropped in the 2000 recession and even more obviously in the 2008–2010 period.

Economics 52

Economics Transportation Economy Manufacturing 52

MarketWatch

APRIL 4, 2023

That occurred as the 2-year Treasury yield experienced its biggest-monthly plunge since January 2008, and the 10-year BX:TMUBMUSD10Y had its largest monthly drop since March 2020. As Monday’s trading wore on, investors regarded higher oil prices as beneficial for some U.S. rates strategist at TD Securities in New York.“It’s

Economy 76

Economy Marketing Marketing Banking 76

Trade Brains

AUGUST 20, 2022

The NSE remained the world’s largest derivatives exchange for the second consecutive year in 2020 in terms of the number of contracts traded. 38 Adani Port and Special Economic Zone Ltd. Moreover, when Sensex/Nifty goes high, it shows the economic growth of the country. — NIFTY or Nifty 50. FINANCIAL SERVICES 0.74%.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Financial Services Healthcare 98

Indigo Marketing Agency

DECEMBER 8, 2022

And you know that they’re probably no longer as reassured by the message “It’s about time in the market, not timing the market” and being pointed back to 2008. Something about our current volatile economic climate feels different. If together you can weather this economic storm, there will be greater confidence moving forward.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Financial Advisor Clients 52

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 5, 2023

So, so let’s talk a little bit about your, your background ba in economics from Dartmouth. ’cause then I figure I could always be employed either managing the numbers or doing law and get those two degrees. It’s a pleasure to be here. Barry Ritholtz: 00:01:26 [Speaker Changed] It it’s a pleasure to have you.

Management 173

Management Investing Investments Numbers 173

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages. Source: Trading Economics. The rising Baker Hughes drilling rig count below reflects the miracle of supply-demand economics operating in full force. Source: Trading Economics. Source: GasBuddy.com.

Economy 59

Economy Economics Valuation Investing 59

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Since the 2008–09 credit crisis, market sentiment on European stocks has shifted back and forth, from despair to confidence, depending largely on sentiment regarding the EU’s prospects as a viable political and economic entity. Take Europe, for instance. But it is a meaningful change worthy of discussion after a long period of time.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Since the 2008–09 credit crisis, market sentiment on European stocks has shifted back and forth, from despair to confidence, depending largely on sentiment regarding the EU’s prospects as a viable political and economic entity. Take Europe, for instance. But it is a meaningful change worthy of discussion after a long period of time.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Nationwide Financial

MARCH 21, 2023

Powell’s comments in the press conference and the update to the Statement of Economic Projections (“dot plot”) will be closely watched. However, not all data is bad, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index at +58m the highest reading in nearly a year, and the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts 3.2% Consumer price inflation rose 0.4%

Banking 52

Banking Marketing Marketing Economics 52

The Irrelevant Investor

APRIL 1, 2021

I remember when I entered the job market in the 70s (yes, I’m a boomer) we bemoaned our fate of being boomers because we were being spewed out of college and into the labor force in unprecedented numbers, driving competition for jobs up and wages down. And BTW, competition to get into college was very rough because of our numbers.

Retirement 52

Retirement Assets Numbers Economy 52

Carson Wealth

APRIL 8, 2024

gain, but not a bad number by any means. These include some of the worst years in stock market history, including 1973, 1974, the tech bubble, 2008, and 2022. That means labor productivity continues to run strong, as workers are producing above-trend output while working the same number of hours. median return.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 96

Discipline Funds

MARCH 24, 2023

Pretty big numbers. It’s why economics is as much social science as hard science. This wasn’t a 2008 style bank panic where the banks were insolvent because their customers were defaulting on bad loans. This week’s chart of the week shows the S&P Regional Bank index performance year-to-date.

Banking 58

Banking Government Economy Numbers 58

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52