Remove 2008 Remove Math Remove Numbers
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Math Problems

The Better Letter

The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading.

Math 93
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Chart of the Week: House Prices vs Rents

Discipline Funds

In fact, we’ve been vocal that this isn’t a repeat of 2008. Of course, this data is highly localized and we generally measure “inventory” by the number of units that are actually for sale. And that’s where the math on renting comes into play. I don’t intend to sound alarmist.

Math 137
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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

He co-chairs a number of the asset management investment committees. So I interviewed with a bunch of banks, got a number of job offers by the end of the week, and joined Goldman Sachs in October 1998. I ended up being hired onto the high yield desk as a research analyst and did that for a number of years, a couple of years.

Assets 299
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Transcript: Albert Wenger

The Big Picture

I led the Union Square Ventures investment in Etsy, I became a venture partner for that, and then became a GP in the 2008 fund. WENGER: No, we’ve definitely always been disciplined on valuation, and we’ve let a number of things go. In the later stage markets, you know, there’s a headline number. RITHOLTZ: Okay.

Valuation 305
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Leverage, Leverage, I Gotta Have Leverage

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The way portable used to primarily be implemented was to leverage up with correlated assets and it ended up going very badly in 2008 when equities dropped 40%. The risk to 40% or 30% of managed futures via leverage is that in a year like 2008, instead of going up like they "should," managed futures drops 15 or 20%.

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Bernstein on Bulletproof

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. As bad as 2008 was, we're 3x from there. He makes a good point about not relying solely on math to assess markets and portfolio construction, that the psychology of markets is important too.

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Throw It All Out And Start Over?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% It's not that 60/40, or some other combination of numbers is bad or dead, more like how we build the 40 or other number maybe needs to be different. when the chart starts, down to 1.09% per Yahoo, after bottoming out in the neighborhood of 0.50%. in November.