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MiB: Edward Chancellor on the Real Story of Interest 

The Big Picture

In 2008, he received the George Polk Award for financial reporting. We discuss Chancellor’s history as an analyst interested in speculative bubbles, which led him to write a research paper on valuations and why the dotcom bubble looks a lot like other historical bubbles.

Valuation 311
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

stock market has, on average, outperformed international equities over the last 15 years since emerging from the Great Recession of 2008, many investors argue that international diversification is a poor allocation of dollars that would otherwise be earning more in the U.S. As the U.S. The outperformance of U.S.

Valuation 246
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America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake

The Big Picture

Since 2008, the Census Bureau has included government transfers in its Supplemental Poverty Measure. ” In 2008. For the record, Census published its first study on the valuation of so-called “in-kind transfer benefits” in 1982. It is untrue. You may remember Phil Gramm. He’s the (thankfully) former U.S.

Math 246
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Trillion Drop, Biggest Since 2008 : San Francisco and New York are slumping as the pandemic boom fizzles out, but migration to Florida has boosted Miami. The designs are crafted with both aesthetics and security in mind. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also US Housing Market Posts $2.3

Valuation 290
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Sequence of Returns

A Wealth of Common Sense

Callie Cox joined me on the show again this week to discuss questions about investing in alternatives, the plight of the homebuyer, the current state of stock market valuations, and overcoming financial mistakes. Further Reading: What If You Invested at the Peak Right Before the 2008 Crisis?

Valuation 136
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4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The good news is that while there's little doubt that the economy is indeed slowing, there don't seem to be any "black swans" lurking around the corner, as was the case for 2008's severe recession. the Magnificent Seven) means that any sort of correction in those names could reverberate through the broader market.

Economics 246
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MiB: David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital

The Big Picture

He famously shorted Allied Capital in the 2ooos and Lehman Brothers about a year before it collapsed into bankruptcy in 2008. Since inception, Greenlight has generated about 13% annually, and ~290o% total return versus the S&P500’s 1117% total and 9.5% annual returns.

Banking 200