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Question #6 for 2023: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2023?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. In summary, we find evidence for a shorter lag in the peak response of inflation to a policy shock in the post-2009 period even after we adjust the shock definition to incorporate forward guidance and balance sheet policy.

Economy 94
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Market turmoil flips Fed script

Nationwide Financial

For investors, events in the financial markets over the last two weeks have underscored the importance of preparing for the unexpected. It was only on March 7 when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the possibility of bigger interest rate hikes if justified by the economic data.

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Three Things – Happy (Almost) Weekend

Discipline Funds

This was the biggest revision since 2009 and very large by any measure. My basic explanation for US reserve currency status is one of complete and utter economic domination. Here are some things I think I am thinking about this week: 1) That BIG Employment Revision. Let me explain. The USD compromises 60% of global currency reserves.

Assets 105
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9 Charts Every Investor Should See

Darrow Wealth Management

The markets are constantly moving in response to a multitude of factors: news, economic data, expectations, interest rates , earnings, geopolitical events, etc. In the financial markets, the most extreme volatility is typically driven by bouts of uncertainty. Economic recessions vs the stock market.

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No Pain, No Gain

Investing Caffeine

For long-term stock investors who have reaped the massive +520% rewards from the March 2009 lows, they understand this gargantuan climb was not earned without some rocky times along the way.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Are Quite Resilient

Carson Wealth

There are certainly more questions than answers right now, and yes, the odds of a recession have increased as banks will tighten lending, which could lead to an economic slowdown. Still, economic data is improving. Think back to March 2003, March 2009, and March 2020. One of the best reasons to be bullish is very few people are.

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A wave of fundamental data will drive the next move for markets

Nationwide Financial

Markets surged at the beginning of the week, with the first back-to-back gains of 2.5% Recent Fedspeak was clear that neither financial market volatility nor slowing global growth will deter them from raising rates. The Treasury’s Office of Financial Research measure of stress in U.S. What to Watch.