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Does the ISM Services Index Really Reflect the Real World?

Mish Talk

Supplier Deliveries is the only ISM ® Report On Business ® index that is inversed; a reading of above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries, which is typical as the economy improves and customer demand increases.) “The The rate of contraction was the fastest since August and among the sharpest on record (since October 2009).

Economy 190
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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. Even more impressive is the past four times this happened (1997, 2003, 2009, and 2020) all saw at least double-digit returns. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Strong Starts to the Year Are Usually Bullish for Stocks

Carson Wealth

As long-time followers of this commentary know, we’ve been quite bullish on both the stock market and the economy for well over a year now. but all major economies based on their individual economic sensitivities, which we can then roll up to regional and global leading indicators. Could stocks fall in April? While our U.S.

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Market Commentary: Bull Keeps Going, 15 Years Since Global Financial Crisis

Carson Wealth

The bottom line is the economy is strong because the labor market is strong. The S&P 500 fell an eventual 57% from its October 2007 peak before bottoming on March 9, 2009, and finally ending the global financial crisis (GFC) bear market. The global economy was in shambles, and people were losing their jobs all around.

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Market Commentary: Best Calendar Month Over the Last 20 Years Holding True

Carson Wealth

The economy added 206,000 jobs in June, ahead of expectations of 190,000. Fortunately, the doers drive the economy; the thinkers only report on it. The economy created 206,000 jobs last month, above expectations for a 190,000 increase. These down cycles can adversely impact the productive capacity of the economy in future years.

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Market Commentary: A New Bull Market is Here

Carson Wealth

Carson’s leading economic index indicates the economy is not in a recession. We’ve believed for a while now that the bear market ended in October, but the financial media prefer the 20% definition. It can be hard to parse through it all and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release. economy.

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Resilience is Core to Sustainable Portfolio Construction

Brown Advisory

This means that an overwhelming majority have withstood the early 2000s recession in developed markets, the 2008 to 2009 Global Financial Crisis, and the Covid-19 global pandemic. ROIC calculations presented use LFY (last fiscal year) and exclude financial services. Others such as U.S.