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At the Money: Meb Faber on Tax Aware ETFs

The Big Picture

Would you like to diversify but also defer paying big capital gains taxes? I’m Barry Ritholtz and on today’s edition of at the money we’re going to discuss how to manage concentrated equity positions with an eye towards diversification and managing big capital gains taxes. And that’s the broad market.

Taxes 130
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Housing Starts and Recessions

Calculated Risk

Also note that the sharp decline in 2010 was related to the housing tax credit policy in 2009 - and was just a continuation of the housing bust. Another exception was in late 2021 - we saw a significant YoY decline in new home sales related to the pandemic and the surge in new home sales in the second half of 2020.

Sales 309
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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

The US population today is 341,814,420; in 2009 it was 308,512,035. Economy in 2022 was $25,439.70B; in 2009, it was $14,478.06B; ignore that also? from 2009, and by 2024 you get (wait for it) $193.44T. Do we simply ignore the growth in the size of the economy and the U.S. population? Do we just ignore that?

Economy 347
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Recession Watch Metrics

Calculated Risk

Also note that the sharp decline in 2010 was related to the housing tax credit policy in 2009 - and was just a continuation of the housing bust. Another exception was in late 2021 - we saw a significant YoY decline in new home sales related to the pandemic and the surge in new home sales in the second half of 2020.

Sales 241
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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

This is before we get to the issue of capital gains taxes, which create a hurdle of (minimum) 20% on those pesky profits just to get to breakeven. The dotcom top, the double bottom in Oct 02-March 03; the highs in 2007, the lows 2009. Let’s add some color to the discussion on timing itself and add a little nuance.1

Marketing 304
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Recession Watch

Calculated Risk

Also note that the sharp decline in 2010 was related to the housing tax credit policy in 2009 - and was just a continuation of the housing bust. Another exception was in late 2021 - we saw a significant YoY decline in new home sales related to the pandemic and the surge in new home sales in the second half of 2020.

Sales 361
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Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?

Calculated Risk

Also note that the sharp decline in 2010 was related to the housing tax credit policy in 2009 - and was just a continuation of the housing bust. 2009 -2.6% Another exception was in late 2021 - we saw a significant YoY decline in new home sales related to the pandemic and the surge in new home sales in the second half of 2020.

Economy 278