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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

Economic indicators across consumption, income, industry and the labor market don’t point to a recession. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability.

Marketing 139
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Market Commentary: More Reasons We Think This Bull Market Has Plenty of Life Left

Carson Wealth

Q2 GDP Growth Confirms Economic Resilience The economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.8% It’s a very solid, but not spectacular, number, just in the top half of all quarters since 2010, but looking at it in the context of the rate environment shows just how resilient the economy has been. This was well above expectations of a 2.0%

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Market Commentary: Up and Down Week Leaves the S&P 500 Near Flat

Carson Wealth

The late week rebound was supported by better economic data, including some good jobs-related numbers. But as the week progressed things calmed down and better economic data showed fears of a recession were once again overblown. 2010 had a European banking crisis. What a Week What a week! 1998 saw the Russian debt default.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Has Another Strong Month, but Watch Out for October Jitters

Carson Wealth

The Bearish Narratives Look Even Worse Now We just got a slew of economic data revisions from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and our first response was, Wow! There’s a reason why the S&P 500 has risen over 90% over this same period, and that was because economic activity drove profit growth. Guess What?

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. That’s well above the 2010-2019 average of 2.4% And that is what is happening now.

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Market Commentary: 7 Reasons the Bull Market Is Alive and Well

Carson Wealth

Economic data remains supportive, according to the Carson Leading Economic Indicator, which is pointing to above-trend growth. This is why we have our own Carson Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) for the U.S. The banking system has held up, and economic growth has run ahead of the pre-pandemic 2010-2019 trend.

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Market Commentary: The Dow’s on a Winning Streak

Carson Wealth

We just received a tremendous amount of data to round out the economic picture in the second quarter (Q2). All This Points to Strong Economic Growth The Atlanta Fed puts out a “nowcast” of quarterly real GDP growth that is updated with major economic data releases. It’s a Bird. It’s a Plane! It’s … the U.S. over the past year.