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Seattle Redux: Misunderstanding Seasonal Adjustments

The Big Picture

The Journal did the math as follows: California had 726,600 people working in fast-food and other limited-service eateries in January, down 1.3% Looking at the chart above in table format (from 2010), it becomes quite evident that, on a NSA basis, the trough in this series occurs, with precision, in January. Every January.

Food 336
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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

October 2, 2017) Deficit Chicken Hawks vs Ronald Reagan (July 13, 2010) Politics & Investing The post Catastrophizing Debt appeared first on The Big Picture.

Economy 347
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Join The Bond Market Resistance!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The article devoted a good amount of space to bond market math, focusing on the pain of owning the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT) and bond funds in general. I found an interview I did with Seeking Alpha in late 2010 that made its way to NASDAQ.com. Here's the relevant excerpt. It turned out it did matter starting in late 2021.

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Addressing Common Retirement Misconceptions

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. When I retired in 2010, I had about $360K in a deferred IRA and $60K in a Roth IRA. I have taken RMD's since 2010 when I turned 70 and now I have over $550K in my deferred IRA and about $450K in my Roth without investing a dime.

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Trying To Learn From Risk Parity

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The math is only off by a shade using leverage via UST and a little bit of SSO, remember RPAR is leveraged. This is probably attributable to trend having some weak years in the 2010's. Again, the leverage used in the paper isn't accessible so I built the following to replicate RPAR.

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The importance of evaluating social factors in mortgage bond analysis

Brown Advisory

Additionally, underbuilding in the years following the subprime mortgage and global financial crisis of 2007-2010 resulted in a systemic shortage of housing that has driven rapid appreciation in home prices and rental costs alike. High-income homeowners reaped more than 70% of the $8.2 trillion increase in the value of U.S.

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Bracketology (2024 Edition)

The Better Letter

During the 2010 World Cup, Paul the Octopus picked the correct winner of eight-straight matches, including the final (his odds of doing so were one in 256 ). Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 quintillion.

Numbers 82