article thumbnail

Seattle Redux: Misunderstanding Seasonal Adjustments

The Big Picture

The Journal did the math as follows: California had 726,600 people working in fast-food and other limited-service eateries in January, down 1.3% Looking at the chart above in table format (from 2010), it becomes quite evident that, on a NSA basis, the trough in this series occurs, with precision, in January. Every January.

Food 336
article thumbnail

Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

October 2, 2017) Deficit Chicken Hawks vs Ronald Reagan (July 13, 2010) Politics & Investing The post Catastrophizing Debt appeared first on The Big Picture.

Economy 347
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Join The Bond Market Resistance!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The article devoted a good amount of space to bond market math, focusing on the pain of owning the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT) and bond funds in general. I found an interview I did with Seeking Alpha in late 2010 that made its way to NASDAQ.com. Here's the relevant excerpt. It turned out it did matter starting in late 2021.

article thumbnail

Addressing Common Retirement Misconceptions

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. When I retired in 2010, I had about $360K in a deferred IRA and $60K in a Roth IRA. I have taken RMD's since 2010 when I turned 70 and now I have over $550K in my deferred IRA and about $450K in my Roth without investing a dime.

article thumbnail

Transcript: Anat Admati

The Big Picture

ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing. ADMATI: Yes.

Banking 204
article thumbnail

Bracketology (2025 Edition)

The Better Letter

During the 2010 World Cup, Paul the Octopus picked the correct winner of eight-straight matches, including the final (his odds of doing so were one in 256 ). Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 quintillion.

Numbers 75
article thumbnail

Transcript: Albert Wenger

The Big Picture

And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. And yet, the amount of math that’s been produced over the last, you know, few decades is just mind-blowing extraordinary. There’s like the famous Fields Medal, and there’s some other prizes.

Valuation 305