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The Fed on "Possible Macroeconomic Effects of a Temporary Federal Debt Default"

Calculated Risk

economy—Treasury securities are the world’s “safe” asset and the dollar is the world’s main reserve currency. o In some extreme scenarios with a prolonged default, financial markets could be severely impaired. In addition, no other nation that defaulted on its sovereign debt ever enjoyed two key features of the U.S.

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Secretary Yellen to Speaker McCarthy: "unable to continue to satisfy all of the government’s obligations by early June"

Calculated Risk

economy—Treasury securities are the world’s “safe” asset and the dollar is the world’s main reserve currency. o In some extreme scenarios with a prolonged default, financial markets could be severely impaired. In addition, no other nation that defaulted on its sovereign debt ever enjoyed two key features of the U.S.

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Debt Ceiling Primer | Weekly Market Commentary | February 27, 2023

James Hendries

While concerns about the debt ceiling have been increasing, markets, businesses, and the economy are likely to see only minimal impact until we are days, or maybe a few weeks, from the “x date,” the date on which the federal government will no longer be able to meet all its obligations, likely in the summer or early fall.

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Market Commentary: A New Bull Market is Here

Carson Wealth

Now with stocks up 20%, they have officially entered a new bull market and the 2022 bear is over. Stocks have officially entered a new bull market, increasing the odds of continued strength. Carson’s leading economic index indicates the economy is not in a recession. This has run contrary to most economists’ predictions.

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Off the Beaten Trail

Brown Advisory

Turbulence in various stock markets will probably persist in 2016 as global growth slows because of weakness in emerging economies including China, a leading engine for the world economy during the past decade. The world economy is on pace to grow 3.1% 2 economy, grew 7.3% From April 7, 2011, until Sept.

Economy 52
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No Pain, No Gain

Investing Caffeine

Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% As Albert Einstein stated, “In the middle of every difficulty lies an opportunity.”.

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Markets attempt a bounce on encouraging earnings

Nationwide Financial

This is similar to the market behavior near the bottoms in 2002, 2009, 2011, and 2020, reflecting the willingness of institutional investors to dip their toe back in the water. Despite historic levels of investor pessimism, the S&P 500® Index has shown 2% gains in six sessions in the past month in an effort to bounce.