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Monthly NFPs Are Rounding Errors

The Big Picture

That is a significant number to recall whenever people posit we either are in, or just were in, or are about to tumble into a recession. but most months, the specific number is more or less a rounding error. June 3rd, 2011) THE MOST IMPORTANT EVER NFP blah blah blah (June 7th, 2013) “What’s Your NFP Number?”

Numbers 264
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At the Money: Is War Good for Markets?

The Big Picture

Full transcript below. ~~~ Previously : Hirsch’s WTF Forecast: Dow 38,820 (September 28, 2010) Super Boom: Why the Dow Jones Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit From It (April 12, 2011) ~~~ Jeffrey Hirsch is editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac & Almanac Investor Newsletter. For both following both wars. Following both wars.

Marketing 317
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Rising Youth And The Issue Of Unemployment In India

Trade Brains

India can become the 3rd largest economy by 2027 and even the 2nd largest by 2075, surpassing the US. Now, that’s a huge number of young, talented people, and a great opportunity for the country to grow its economy with multitalented and skilled youths in this competitive world. But hold on! But something is wrong here!

Education 111
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Market Commentary: Up and Down Week Leaves the S&P 500 Near Flat

Carson Wealth

The late week rebound was supported by better economic data, including some good jobs-related numbers. In 2011 there was the US debt downgrade, and in 2015 China’s surprise devaluation of its currency. The current number remains consistent with the 2018-2019 average, despite a larger labor force now. What a Week What a week!

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Why Everyone’s Bearish

The Irrelevant Investor

You have the lowest reading of "managers expecting a stronger economy" since The Great Financial Crisis. Josh and I were talking about this last night ; we've never seen confidence this low outside of a recession, with the exception of 2011, when double-dip fears never came to fruition. So what gives? Yes, that 1987.

Numbers 52
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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Index Hits a New All-Time High

Carson Wealth

For a broad view of our expectations for the economy, stocks, and bonds in 2024, download our 2024 Market Outlook. That bear eventually ended in October 2022, and since then stocks have defied many experts, who continually (and incorrectly) touted a weakening economy, tapped-out consumer, and many other reasons to doubt the new bull market.

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Market Commentary: U.S. Debt Downgrade Should Have Minimal Impact

Carson Wealth

The first came in August 2011 from S&P Global Ratings after a government standoff over the debt ceiling. debt was downgraded for a second time in history, but we do not expect this to have much impact on the bull market or the strength of the economy. The economy is growing and normalizing. on average.