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NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Sharply in October

Calculated Risk

Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. This is the lowest confidence reading since August 2012, with the exception of the onset of the pandemic in the spring of 2020. All three HMI components posted declines in October. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

Sales 352
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CoreLogic: 1.2 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q1 2023

Calculated Risk

From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: US Home Borrowers See First Annual Home Equity Losses Since 2012 in Q1 2023, but Overall Mortgage Performance Remains Strong CoreLogic®. homeowners with a mortgage lost a small amount of equity year over year for the first time since early 2012, while national combined equity followed suit. million to 1.2

Numbers 363
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Wealth Inequality Starts at the Top

The Big Picture

Using IRS data, University of California at Berkeley’s Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman’s 2014 study found: The share of total wealth of the top 1% has increased steadily, from below 25% in 1978 to 42% in 2012. The top 0.01% of US households had at least $111 million in net worth in 2012, compared to $4 million for the 1 %.

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Wednesday links: the shelf life of a stock

Abnormal Returns

Banking The number of bank branches in the U.S. peaked in 2012. sherwood.news) Where SVB's business stands as JP Morgan ($JPM) looks to make inroads. bloomberg.com) ETFs Where active ETFs are growing fastest. morningstar.com) The iShares Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT) is a runaway hit.

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NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Falls to Lowest Level Since 2012

Advisor Perspectives

The headline number for the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 88.5 in March, the lowest level since 20212. The latest reading was worse than the forecast of 88.8 and marked the 27th straight month the index has been below the series average of 98.0.

Numbers 119
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CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Drops to the Lowest Rate in 11 Years in May

Calculated Risk

The last time CoreLogic’s Home Price index saw annual growth fall to less than 2% was in early 2012, but U.S. Annual U.S. single-family home price growth slowed for the 12th straight month in May, falling to 1.4% increase year over year. appreciation still remained positive for the 136th straight month in May.

Numbers 278
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NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Further in December

Calculated Risk

Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. This is the lowest confidence reading since mid-2012, with the exception of the onset of the pandemic in the spring of 2020. “In emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the NAHB index since Jan 1985.

Sales 246