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California vs Texas Minimum Wage, 2013-2024

The Big Picture

Here is NAICS code 722513 for California and Texas, indexed to 100 as of January 2013. The correlation between January 2013 and pre-Covid peak of March 2020 is 0.994. As mentioned above, for seven years – from January 2013 to March 2020 – CA and TX QSR employment moved almost identically, the correlation between them 0.994.

Food 306
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CA Min Wage: A (Possible) Final Thought

The Big Picture

Here is NAICS code 722513 for California and Texas, indexed to 100 as of January 2013. The correlation between January 2013 and pre-Covid peak of March 2020 is 0.994. As mentioned above, for seven years – from January 2013 to March 2020 – CA and TX QSR employment moved almost identically, the correlation between them 0.994.

Food 245
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Five Things That Could Knock Nvidia Down

The Reformed Broker

Okay, it’s up 10,000% since May of 2013 and is now the best performing stock in America during the past decade. Everyone is obsessed. It’s the biggest story in the market this year. Cramer has now named a second family dog after it.

Marketing 333
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Peak Substack?

The Big Picture

I have no idea whether its a long-term staple or a flash in the pan, but it feels to me like I am now at peak Substack… Previously : Things I Don’t Care About (January 15th, 2013) What Do You Control? (May May 30th, 2013) Asking the Right Questions (July 18th, 2013) The Price of Paying Attention (November 2012) Who Do You Trust?

Media 278
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Countertrend ?

The Big Picture

The best examples are 1946-66, 1982-2000, and 2013 forward. for this to be the case two things must have happened: 1) The secular bull market that began in 2013 has ended, and 2) We are now in a new secular bear market. We call these eras Secular Bull Markets.

Economy 328
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The Great Resignation Is Long Over

The Big Picture

Consider these columns going back to 2013 pointing out the foolishness of tax-payer subsidized corporate welfare queens (2013), and why median wages were rising ( 2016 , 2017 , 2018 , 2018 , 2019 ). Then came the pandemic, and a huge federal worker subsidy.

Medicine 331
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Monthly NFPs Are Rounding Errors

The Big Picture

June 3rd, 2011) THE MOST IMPORTANT EVER NFP blah blah blah (June 7th, 2013) “What’s Your NFP Number?” workers in the economy that excludes proprietors, private household employees, unpaid volunteers, farm employees, and the unincorporated self-employed.

Numbers 264