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MiB: Colin Camerer on Neuroeconomics

The Big Picture

Camerer won the MacArthur Fellow (Genius award) in 2013. Corey is an active researcher and his work has been published in the Journal of Indexing and the Journal of Alternative Investments. He is also the host of the popular quantitative investing podcast Flirting with Models.

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Investing is the Study of Human Decision Making

The Big Picture

Most people believe that investing is the science of generating a return on capital. At its heart, investing is a problem-solving exercise , filled with opportunities that reveal the errors we all make. This should be reflected in how we invest. That is an accurate but incomplete assessment. – “ Future ” demands optimism.

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Why Housing is Everyone’s Favorite Investment

A Wealth of Common Sense

Each year since 2011, Gallup has asked people what they think is the best long-term investment: After a brief love affair with gold, real estate has been in the top spot every year since 2013. So why do we Americans love the housing market so much from an investment perspective? Stocks are a distant second.

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Recession Watch

Calculated Risk

Way back in 2013, I wrote a post " Predicting the Next Recession. One of my favorite models for business cycle forecasting uses new home sales (also housing starts and residential investment). Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. My answer is: Maybe.

Sales 361
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MiB: Julian Salisbury, CIO, Goldman Sachs

The Big Picture

Salisbury , chief investment officer of asset and wealth management at Goldman Sachs. He is also a member of the management committee, and Co-Chairs the Asset Management Investment Committees, which includes private equity, infrastructure, growth equity, credit, and real estate. This week, we speak with Julian C.

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Predicting the Next Recession

Calculated Risk

Way back in 2013, I wrote a post " Predicting the Next Recession. One of my favorite models for business cycle forecasting uses new home sales (also housing starts and residential investment). Note that Residential Investment is quarterly and single-family starts and new home sales are monthly. Click on graph for larger image.

Sales 363
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Recession Watch Update

Calculated Risk

Way back in 2013, I wrote a post " Predicting the Next Recession. That was written in 2013, and it appears once again that we've avoided the "default" policy error. One of my favorite models for business cycle forecasting uses new home sales (also housing starts and residential investment).

Sales 363