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10 Bad Takes On This Market

The Big Picture

How bad at math do you need to be to think that it’s only 5 stocks driving this market? As I keep saying, one day, this cycle will end, a recession to worse will occur, and the secular bull market that began in 2013 will end. Only 5 stocks driving markets?! Then why are Equal-weighted indices doing so well? Recession is inevitable?

Marketing 289
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Math Problems

The Better Letter

The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading. quintillion.

Math 93
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Surprise! California’s 40 Qs of Rising Minimum Wage & Fast Food Industry Growth (Beating USA)

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here Our story so far : California has been raising its minimum wage for the past decade, starting at $8/hour through 2013. ” A bit of quick math: 726,600/0.987 = 736,170 (starting point). from last September [2023], when the state backed a deal for the increased wages.” 726,600 – 736,170 = -9,570.

Food 260
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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

Previously : The Timing Mistake: Thoughts & Pushback (August 26, 2020) Market Timing for Fun & Profit (August 28, 2020) The Art of Calling a Market Top (October 4, 2017) DOs and DONTs of Market Crashes (January 16, 2016) The Truth About Market Timing (March 13, 2013) Timing the Market? By Jeff Sommer New York Times, Nov.

Marketing 304
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Can BuyWrite Funds Actually Work?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

For the last ten years it's down about 13% but adding even just 6% per year back in for dividends, 60% total using simple math is a total return of 47% or 4.7% Given that MCN went up during the Taper Tantrum of 2013, I lean toward thinking it was equity beta. That long term chart really is something for how flat it is has been.

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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. SALISBURY: So I led the European Special Situations Group from 2008 to 2013.

Assets 299
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Bracketology (2024 Edition)

The Better Letter

Duke math professor Jonathan Mattingly claimed the average college basketball fan has a far better chance of achieving bracket perfection than one in 9.2 In Monte Carlo, on August 18, 2013, a Roulette ball landed on black 26 times in a row – the longest such streak ever recorded, with odds against of 136,823,184 to one.

Numbers 82