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Monthly NFPs Are Rounding Errors

The Big Picture

That is a significant number to recall whenever people posit we either are in, or just were in, or are about to tumble into a recession. but most months, the specific number is more or less a rounding error. It was that 157.087 million people are employed full-time in the United States.1 This is not a popular opinion.

Numbers 264
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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased in Q1 2024

Calculated Risk

Asset Quality Metrics Remained Generally Favorable With the Exception of Material Deterioration in Credit Card and Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Portfolios: Loans that were 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status increased to 0.91 From the FDIC: The number of banks on the FDIC’s “Problem Bank List” increased from 52 to 63.

Numbers 124
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

Meaning, you do not get the 8-10% long-term gains without living through a significant number of market events, ranging from cyclical drawdowns to longer secular bear markets, and full-on crashes. 2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked.

Marketing 336
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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased Slightly in Q3 2024

Calculated Risk

Asset Quality Metrics Remained Generally Favorable, Though Weakness in Certain Portfolios Persists The past-due and nonaccrual (PDNA) loan ratio increased 6 basis points from the prior quarter to 1.54 2 Quarterly, banks reported an increase in the PDNA ratio in credit card loan portfolios (up 20 basis points to 3.36 billion to $87.3

Numbers 59
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At the Money: Is War Good for Markets?

The Big Picture

I’m Barry Ritholtz, and on today’s edition of At the Money, we’re gonna discuss whether war and inflation 20 somehow adds up to higher portfolio prices. So what were the numbers like after World War 1 and after World War 2? We’ve spent – depending on whose numbers you rely on – 4, 5, 6 trillion dollars.

Marketing 317
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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

He co-chairs a number of the asset management investment committees. So I interviewed with a bunch of banks, got a number of job offers by the end of the week, and joined Goldman Sachs in October 1998. I ended up being hired onto the high yield desk as a research analyst and did that for a number of years, a couple of years.

Assets 299
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Old School Alts, Represent!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

With all the time we've spent learning about new alternative strategies (new in that they've become accessible in funds for retail sized accounts) and how to incorporate them into a diversified portfolios, I thought it might be worthwhile to revisit a couple of older school alternatives to see how they're doing through the current event.