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Here are some of the popular themes and the risks associated with them: Falling Interest Rates : There has been earnest demand by market participants to cut interest rates in the US and other developed economies on the back of falling inflation rates. One can consider debt portfolios with floating rate instruments for long-term allocation.
The Advisory | June 2015. Wed, 06/03/2015 - 10:14. Ahead of the first tightening by the Federal Reserve in nine years, we are shifting into less-traditional assets, anticipating that, at best, U.S. The easing helped stabilize financial markets, reduced the risk of deflation and resuscitated the economy and job growth.
Charitable giving to foundations in 2015 shrank 3.8% stocks since early 2015 has also constricted funding. Indeed, compared with 1995, investors in 2015 needed to take on nearly three times more potential volatility in order to achieve a 7.5% Reassess assetallocation. from the previous year to $42.3
Wed, 12/02/2015 - 12:58. Weak commodity prices and flagging emerging market economies have dimmed the outlook for energy and metals companies, and are shaking up the high-yield bond market. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst. Diamonds In The Rough.
Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% As Albert Einstein stated, “In the middle of every difficulty lies an opportunity.”.
EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks achen Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47 Assetallocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. is much clearer.
Assetallocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. We maintain a model portfolio internally to track the results of our assetallocation stances. Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47.
The Fed’s goal is to increase the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing down the economy and reducing inflation. On the surface this sounds scary, but do you remember what happened the last time the Fed tapped the interest rate brakes during 2015 – 2018? over the next couple of years. If Things Are So Bad, Why Are Prices Going Up?
Thu, 09/03/2015 - 15:10. As recently as 2012 Puerto Rico was able to sell to investors public-sector bonds despite its bleak fiscal outlook and shrinking economy. Consider this scenario: An economy is shrinking, government debt is ballooning and emigration is eroding the workforce. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst.
As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained.
Thu, 09/03/2015 - 15:10. Europe’s economy has picked up steam even with Ukraine battling Russian-backed insurgents and Greece narrowly dodging an exit from the eurozone. Greater consumption has sped growth in the eurozone’s four largest economies—Germany, France, Italy and Spain. Europe's Slow Climb. this year from 0.8%
Wed, 12/02/2015 - 12:50. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst. Investors should expect the market swings of 2015 to carry over into the new year, driven largely by concerns over weak global growth. Anchoring Expectations. Diamonds In The Rough. By Tom Graff, CFA, Head of Fixed Income.
The expectation was predicated on the view that inflation pressures would ease as global economies recalibrated to a post-pandemic environment. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. And on the assetallocation side, the team’s preference for value stocks throughout the year turned out to be a win.
Tue, 09/01/2015 - 11:30. economy is in its sixth year of expansion, the housing market is strengthening, initial claims for unemployment insurance have hit a 41-year low, and yet there is one group that seems noticeably absent from the party: the consumer. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst. Current U.S.
However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve.
Even as the “E” (earnings) component of the P/E ratio has increased in 2018 thanks to the strong economy and tax cuts, the “P” (price) component has moved up more, and valuations have risen perceptibly. The S&P 500 ® Index is now priced at about 17 times forward 12 months’ estimated earnings. Using the 10-year U.S.
Even as the “E” (earnings) component of the P/E ratio has increased in 2018 thanks to the strong economy and tax cuts, the “P” (price) component has moved up more, and valuations have risen perceptibly. The S&P 500 ® Index is now priced at about 17 times forward 12 months’ estimated earnings. Using the 10-year U.S. Risks in Bonds.
Wed, 04/01/2015 - 16:48. economy following the financial crisis. By keeping short-term interest rates at effectively zero since 2008, the Fed has prompted investors to reach for incremental returns by buying risk assets, including stocks, high-yielding or longer-dated bonds, real estate, private equity, etc.
This energy transition is opening many opportunities for investors, from direct investment in solar, wind and other renewable technologies and projects, to broader investments in companies that are proactively readjusting strategies, even acquiring other businesses, to help them adapt more quickly to a low-carbon economy.
This energy transition is opening many opportunities for investors, from direct investment in solar, wind and other renewable technologies and projects, to broader investments in companies that are proactively readjusting strategies, even acquiring other businesses, to help them adapt more quickly to a low-carbon economy.
Consider how we defined investment risk in our 2018 assetallocation publication, Confronting the Unknown: “The probability that a portfolio will not meet an investor’s needs.” 3/18/2015 U.S. 8/24/2015 S&P 500 Index -5.0 Essentially, liquidity refers to how quickly an investment can be turned into cash. Treasuries -15.0
Consider how we defined investment risk in our 2018 assetallocation publication, Confronting the Unknown: “The probability that a portfolio will not meet an investor’s needs.” 8/24/2015. Liquidity, like many concepts in the investment world, is simple on the surface but becomes far more complex when one examines it more deeply.
Wed, 12/02/2015 - 10:29. We also find it helpful to regularly check in on the investment portfolio to ensure that performance, assetallocation and specific assets align with a family’s goals. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst. Ensuring Legacies Last. Diamonds In The Rough.
And we brought them a plan that, you know, I think, was very similar to what the banks were doing at the time, which was providing financing to private equity-owned companies, huge area of growth in the economy. middle market is the third largest economy in the world. PE, at that point, was really just developing in the middle market.
Thu, 09/03/2015 - 15:11. Protecting inherited assets from a claim by a family member’s ex-spouse can help limit those losses. As recently as 2012 Puerto Rico was able to sell to investors public-sector bonds despite its bleak fiscal outlook and shrinking economy. By Taylor Graff, CFA, AssetAllocation Analyst.
In June 2017, Dent predicted a “ once in a lifetime ” crash in the stock market, the economy, and in real estate over the following three years. 2015 : “Exit now.” .” The Dow closed at 23,327 a couple of years later – the end of 2018 – and has not dropped below 19,000 since the prediction.
It was 2015. He wasn’t tactical assetallocator. And I remember when you first, when we, when we spoke last time, 2015, I 00:27:41 [Speaker Changed] Think I had 00:27:42 [Speaker Changed] Just started, 00:27:43 [Speaker Changed] Just joined Twitter Yeah. In 00:27:45 [Speaker Changed] 2015. You were great.
Or should this be kept out of private assetallocators’ hands? ” RITHOLTZ: And you had the Gates study in, what, 2015, saying the same thing? An economy does better if the most people are prosperous, right? MORGENSON: This is a really, really crucial question for the whole private equity industry.
And few do it better than Neil does in terms of putting together a global view of what’s happening in the economy, what’s happening around the world, what’s happening with the Fed, and what’s happening with the stock market. But, yeah, I mean, you know, we started that account maybe in 2015. You were at Merrill.
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