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To be a successful investor you need to possess a number of different traits. You need to understand how math, statistics and probabilities work. Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Evolution of Financial Advice.
Barry Ritholtz : The the funny thing is, the behavioral aspect of mutual funds seems to have been when people finally learn about a manager who’s put up great numbers, by the time it makes to make makes it to Forbes, hey, most of that run is probably over and a little mean reversion is about to kick in.
Hendrik Bessembinder An excellent piece from Bloomberg came out over the weekend, The Math Behind Futility , which looks beyond the usual explanations as to why the majority of professional stock pickers fail to keep up with an index. In 2016, the average S&P 500 stock returned 1.5 down to 2.9%.
Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills. If it can generate that sort of total return which is yet to be proven, and if, I say if, it delivers that sort of number with less volatility than the broad market then its attractiveness improves.
Notably, between 2000 and 2016, U.S.-based But the activity gap has narrowed over the past five years, and a growing number of startups, patent filings and VC dollars are now driven by Chinese innovation. has commanded the majority of AI activity over the past two decades.
Notably, between 2000 and 2016, U.S.-based But the activity gap has narrowed over the past five years, and a growing number of startups, patent filings and VC dollars are now driven by Chinese innovation. has commanded the majority of AI activity over the past two decades.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
They are a publicly traded investment manager, stocks symbol DHIL, that have been public since day one since 2016. They do a number of things at Diamond Hill that many other investment shops don’t. So, so you’ve held analyst roles and a number of asset managers. 00:16:33 [Speaker Changed] Exactly.
Number one, and I think they both reflect strong leadership at the firms. Number one, you had, you know, somewhat of a groundswell from within the firm, certainly at leadership that said we need to figure out a way to do something. SHAW: My wife and I decided to move to Tennessee back in 2016. SHAW: Yeah. SHAW: That’s right.
Number one, a school district is a business. And number two, and I think that they were like, I’m sure there’s a note coming after this with a congressional allocation, and it never came. BRYANT: Number two, money is emotional. BRYANT: So money, unlike math, money is highly emotional. RITHOLTZ: Right.
As I write this TBL, the S&P 500 is getting crushed and (using very rough numbers) is down 18 percent year-to-date. Based upon last week’s TBL , those hedge fund numbers sound high. Using very rough long-term return numbers (9.5% The Dow is down 8.5 The Nasdaq is down a dreadful 31 percent. I’ve had a few.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. We forget that there weren’t personal computers on everybody’s desk back then. That’s the opportunity set.
Or at least the top, pick a number, 30, 40%. I don’t remember the number. ” 29, 87, 74, just pick any 50 plus percent number and certainly 2000 and ’08, ’09, a major index gets cut in half. So you’re talking about an average of a large number. SEIDES: In 2016. Less, 20, 30%?
We all know that a 55% hit rate is the top decile across the industry, and the maths above demonstrates why. 12 At Intuit’s Investor Day in September last year, management highlighted the maths within their QuickBooks SME accounting software franchise, whereby any improvement in the success rates (i.e.
And we wanted to, I really wanted them to move beyond the blog at, at, when I got to Barstool in 2016, it was, it was predominantly a blog operation. So I can remember going to, to Facebook, I write about this in the book when I was, you know, 2016, I had a meeting with Facebook that somebody gave to me as a favor.
I mean, those were the — that’s what got people all excited and — RITHOLTZ: That’s venture capital numbers. KLINSKY: Well, that is — and it was kind of venture capital numbers because the dollars were so small. RITHOLTZ: So it’s different math then I need 100x winner versus 99? RITHOLTZ: Right.
Before that, 2016, the energy crisis, same. RITHOLTZ: There’s safety in numbers. RITHOLTZ: The whole concept of whisper numbers, which we still use the phrase, but it doesn’t really exist anymore. The numbers are correct. RITHOLTZ: All be fair, they’ve put up some pretty good numbers lately.
So I decided to take some action, by doing the math for myself using a spreadsheet. All covered, with no co-pay and in an environment that feels to me like Presidential-level health care, in striking contrast to some of my past experiences where I felt like an anonymous numbered ticket in a sloshing sea of bureaucratic institutional medicine.
and I don’t know if this is from the book or or my research, Forbes settled on that number. Because he was all sure he was a totally isolated math. So, so he’s brilliant at math. He goes to m i t to study, study physics and math. But in math camp, he’s not the best. And the Undoing project.
These numbers are so incomprehensibly large that they lack any meaning. From February 2013 to November 2016, there were 3.6 In a recent Axios article, Being 30 then and now , the author wrote "In 1975, only a quarter of 25 to 34-year-old men made less than $30K per year, but that number rose to 41% in 2016."
Uh, Fred said to give me your number.” ” (LAUGHTER) And he goes, and then he goes like this and tell Fred not to give up my (EXPLETIVE) phone number anymore. LINDZON: Lesson number two. And they go, what’s street.com’s number. So this is the math that I applied. ” I do the pitch.
That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. As my friend Morgan Housel has explained , “Every forecast takes a number from today and multiplies it by a story about tomorrow.”
That can work for a while and sometimes climbs to extraordinary numbers, but it comes to a bad ending. Buffett likes Tim Sloan, who became CEO at Wells after the sales incentive revelations in 2016, and his efforts to fix those past mistakes. When you buy a productive asset, you can figure what it is worth based on what it produces.
That can work for a while and sometimes climbs to extraordinary numbers, but it comes to a bad ending. Buffett likes Tim Sloan, who became CEO at Wells after the sales incentive revelations in 2016, and his efforts to fix those past mistakes. When you buy a productive asset, you can figure what it is worth based on what it produces.
RITHOLTZ: So wait, you’re, I’m trying to do the math, if you were 24 in ‘08, so you got this watch in 2000, 99? FOWLER: Yes, I was at LVMH for a number of years, mostly with Louis Vuitton for the first few years. The number one response every single time to this day is for Hodinkee to sell things because they trust us.
And I was kind of intrigued and so I said, can we discuss it, and he laid it out on a conference table and I said, what’s this number? And then I said, what’s this number down here, and he said, this is last year’s earnings. And that number was $160 million. So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred.
You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. If you look at the, if you look at the filing and you look at the size of the company and the revenue, the entire yearly revenue numbers would be a bad quarter right? That’s unbelievable.
Estimated numbers of uncounted votes vary widely The number of remaining votes is a guaranteed moving target A Tweet Thread by Sean Golonka explains. It's a moving target, negating any percentage math. Nothing is decided yet, but the math is very challenging for the Republicans in both states. But there are two problems.
SUNSTEIN: Well, when you say directly, that’s true, except the number of meetings I had with President Reagan was zero. The number of mediated interactions I had with President Reagan was about five, and the amount of work that I did for the president was basically every day. That’s an insane number. SUNSTEIN: Yes.
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