Remove 2016 Remove Numbers Remove Retirement Planning
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From Unprofitable To $115M AUM: Reinventing A 2nd Generation Advisory Business By Finding The Right Niche

Nerd's Eye View

But as market trends changed (with the performance of this asset class falling behind large-cap stocks during the 2010s) and clients entered retirement (often consolidating their investment management with 1 advisor), Eliot Rose started losing clients, eventually becoming unprofitable in 2016, the year Jason became president of the firm.

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Old School Alts, Represent!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Then from about 2013 to 2016, gold struggled and so too did PRPFX. The ten year numbers are awful for PRPFX because gold went down for about 4 years from 2013-2016. Here's how it did back to 2016. During the GFC and a little beyond, gold did very well and PRPFX outperformed by a mile.

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Watch Out For Being Under Diversified

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

In the 11 full and partial years we can see that Portfolio 2 lagged by a lot in 2016 and 2020. You can also see a long run from 2016 to 2021 where it was pretty far behind 60/40. Those aren't big numbers so a portfolio that was 80% equities and 20% managed futures that year would have been down 5.4%. Ok, no big deal, it happens.

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Major Tax Changes Are Coming in 2026. Are You Ready?

Darrow Wealth Management

Although a number of these provisions will negatively impact taxpayers starting in 2026, there a few changes that will be positive. In recent years, a number of states developed a sort of workaround for business owners to navigate the SALT cap. In 2016, it’s widely expected that the 2017 tax laws will revert.

Taxes 104
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Back To The Factor Lab Again

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Some fund had a very good year or even great and the 5 and 10 year numbers look very favorable compared to that fund's benchmark. If the outperformance from the one great year is strong enough, it will move the needle on all of the long term performance numbers. In 2016 though, MTUM lagged MCW by 700 basis points.

Numbers 74
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Just Put It All Into.

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

He didn't specify which of the two (I believe that is the correct number) funds that Hussman managed back then. For 20 years, holy cow, the numbers look great. The ten year numbers tell a much different story due, I think, to the fund's large allocation to gold. Gold was mostly in a downtrend from mid-2011 to early 2016.

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Leverage For The Hell Of It?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The gross numbers aren't that far off but some of those drawdowns look like deathblows. It spent so much time running below Portfolio 2 because it lagged by a lot in 2016. I got a reply from @HMLCompounder who back tested 3X S&P to the cash index with the following result. Note, this is very much a theoretical conversation.