Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. In the U.S., Risks in Bonds.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

And so in the 1990s, I developed the, the late 1980s, early 1990s, I developed a skillset around valuation, in particular discounted cash flow or residual income type models, along with a couple of peers out of the consulting industry. That’s actually research that was done by JP Morgan as of 2017. Now my observation was twofold.

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Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

In this article, our head of asset allocation discusses how we are managing trade risk, while still embracing global growth opportunities in our portfolios. After an unnaturally serene 2017, volatility roared back into equity markets this year, fueled by worries over interest rates, inflation, tariffs and data privacy.

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Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

In this article, our head of asset allocation discusses how we are managing trade risk, while still embracing global growth opportunities in our portfolios. After an unnaturally serene 2017, volatility roared back into equity markets this year, fueled by worries over interest rates, inflation, tariffs and data privacy.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

The most egregious example appears to be in 2015 (green line) when the Committee expected interest rates in 2017 to be above 3.5%, when in actuality they were closer to 0.50% that year. Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. All index data from FactSet.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

Further, 2017 overall was extraordinary for its lack of market volatility; the S&P 500 Index rose steadily throughout the year without so much as a 3% pullback—a first in the Index’s long history. For most of 2017, the VIX was exceptionally depressed, signaling that investors expected very little volatility in prices.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

Further, 2017 overall was extraordinary for its lack of market volatility; the S&P 500 Index rose steadily throughout the year without so much as a 3% pullback—a first in the Index’s long history. For most of 2017, the VIX was exceptionally depressed, signaling that investors expected very little volatility in prices.

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Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 17, 2024

EOG is poised to breakout and trades at bargain valuation of about nine times earnings (relative to the S&P at 23 times earnings and a touch under the overall energy sector of 12 times earnings). That said, it loses early in round one simply due to us believing it’s close to full valuation and due for a breather.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. With traditional assets like stocks and bonds at high valuations, the implications for future returns of those assets may be underwhelming. Source: BLOOMBERG.

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Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 11, 2021

We believe that the investment return needed to achieve that objective should be the most important guidepost for a portfolio’s asset allocation. With traditional assets like stocks and bonds at high valuations, the implications for future returns of those assets may be underwhelming. Source: BLOOMBERG.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

ESG and the Stock-­Picker’s Dilemma achen Fri, 09/22/2017 - 12:58 One of the greatest challenges that public equities investors face to integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) data into their decision making is the lack of proof that real – not hypothetical – investment strategies can use ESG factors to enhance performance.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

Fri, 09/22/2017 - 12:58. Research firms lack standardization on the ESG issues they cover and the systems they use to quantify those issues into a score or rating for a company (Bose and Springsteel, 2017). ESG and the Stock-­Picker’s Dilemma. Though a relationship may exist it can be difficult to show correlation through the noise.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Investment Perspectives - The Great Debate achen Wed, 06/21/2017 - 12:35 Aside from some current political and economic topics that dominate the financial media, the most widely debated investment issue today involves the merits of passive investing, or indexing. Reasons for this tendency are varied. In short, every situation is different.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Wed, 06/21/2017 - 12:35. On the upside, active managers are often reluctant to overweight or “chase” the leading stocks in the market because those stocks typically sell at premium valuations. It underperformed primarily during very strong markets, as might be expected given its discipline with regard to valuations.

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The Big Picture

JUNE 13, 2023

And so we go back to the basics of what our job should be, risk underwriting, risk assessment, asset prices are different from asset valuation. I mean the valuation is the future cash flow discounted at a risk-free rate plus a risk premium. But I would add, we had just gone public at the time, 2017.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 26, 2024

In June 2017, Dent predicted a “ once in a lifetime ” crash in the stock market, the economy, and in real estate over the following three years. 2014 : “What concerns us beyond valuations is the full ensemble of overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions.” 2020 : “[E]xtreme valuations.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 14, 2017

Investment Perspectives | “Undoing” the Fed’s Balance Sheet achen Tue, 11/14/2017 - 16:18 These days, it seems like all eyes are on the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, we continue to focus on security selection. the broad markets are largely efficient. A number of thoughts are swirling in the wake of these policy and leadership shifts.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 14, 2017

Tue, 11/14/2017 - 16:18. While this shift in monetary policy may ultimately have important implications for asset allocation and other investment decisions, we’re not convinced that its near-term impact will be particularly significant. Investment Perspectives | “Undoing” the Fed’s Balance Sheet.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 26, 2024

And it’s funny ’cause that was a pandemic purchase, a very inexpensive 2017 Panama four s, which everybody walked away. He wasn’t tactical asset allocator. It’s about long-term planning and strategic asset allocation and, and just understanding how markets work and how behavior comes into the mix.

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Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 3, 2017

Outlook for 2017 | Balance in an Uncertain Time achen Fri, 02/03/2017 - 14:19 With that said, we present this discussion of our asset allocation approach and our current portfolio stance as we begin the year. Provide our asset allocation perspective as it stands at the beginning of 2017—also based on a longer-term view.

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Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 3, 2017

Outlook for 2017 | Balance in an Uncertain Time. Fri, 02/03/2017 - 14:19. With that said, we present this discussion of our asset allocation approach and our current portfolio stance as we begin the year. Provide our asset allocation perspective as it stands at the beginning of 2017—also based on a longer-term view.

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The Big Picture

MAY 21, 2024

And one of the worst performing factors has been valuation. So we’re now in an environment where all the 45-year-old portfolio managers out there have been, have worked their entire careers in these momentum fueled markets, and they’ve been trained to believe that valuation doesn’t matter.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

00:21:21 [Speaker Changed] So this story came out that, oh, value is defensive because it has this valuation buffer to it 00:21:28 [Speaker Changed] In that one example. Most clients, whether they’re individuals or institutions, have some sort of benchmark, a policy portfolio, some strategic asset allocation that they start with.

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