Wealth Management

OCTOBER 5, 2023

Genstar, which first took a majority stake in Cetera in 2018, remains the majority shareholder in the broker/dealer network.

298

298

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 2, 2025

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 25 January As expected with the MLK Day holiday, the U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStars latest data through 25 January. Click on graph for larger image.

165

165

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 22, 2023

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Peak Month June June Oct June June December -7.0% -3.8% -0.7% -2.2% -11.3% And seasonally prices usually bottom the following January (contracts signed in November and December). I've included the decline from the peak for December for each year to compare to 2022. January -8.9% -6.7% -1.2% -3.4%

Sales 363

Sales 363

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 30, 2024

million SAAR in November 2017, 2018, and 2019. However, sales in November, at 4.15 million on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR) were still historically low. Sales averaged about 4.5 So, sales were still about 23% below pre-pandemic levels. Here is a look at months-of-supply using NSA sales.

Sales 147

Sales Marketing Marketing 147

Wealth Management

DECEMBER 18, 2023

DocuSign, which went public in 2018, has been hurt by increasing competition from Adobe Inc.’s s document business.

Sales 266

Sales 266

Calculated Risk

APRIL 6, 2023

NOTE: This release has "revisions to the historical series for CY 2018-2022 for both initial claims and continued claims".

Insurance 354

Insurance 354

A Wealth of Common Sense

MARCH 16, 2025

Coming into 2025 the S&P 500 had just two down years out of the past 15: 2010 +14.8% 2024 +24.9% We were all probably a little spoiled. Regardless of the reason for the recent swoon, we were due.

116

116

Calculated Risk

MAY 24, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 18 May The U.S. hotel industry reported higher performance from the previous week and positive comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 18 May. Click on graph for larger image.

305

305

Wealth Management

DECEMBER 7, 2023

Toronto-based Wealthsimple has grown rapidly, with assets rising about 10-fold to C$25 billion since 2018, thanks in part to slick advertising and some Hollywood star power — celebrities Drake, Michael J. Fox and Ryan Reynolds are among its minority investors.

Assets 263

Assets Advertising 263

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 29, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 23 November Due to the Thanksgiving calendar shift , the U.S. hotel industry reported higher year-over-year performance comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 23 November. Click on graph for larger image.

162

162

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 20, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 14 September The U.S. hotel industry reported mostly negative year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 14 September. Click on graph for larger image.

298

298

Wealth Management

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

Activity in ETFs tends to jump at times of turmoil because they’re easy to trade—investors can quickly pare risky positions, shift into safety or place directional bets.

162

162

Wealth Management

JULY 12, 2023

Executives say the funding will fuel the next stage of growth for PCIA, which has already expanded assets by some 700% since early 2018.

Investment Advisor 246

Investment Advisor Investing Investments Assets 246

Calculated Risk

APRIL 12, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 6 April U.S. hotel performance showed mixed results from the previous week but positive comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 6 April. Click on graph for larger image.

283

283

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 25, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 19 October The U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 19 October. Click on graph for larger image.

281

281

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 30, 2022

Blockchain Scrapheap The Tech Monitor reports IBM and Maersk Scrap Blockchain Trade Platform TradeLens IBM and logistics company Maersk have called time on TradeLens, the blockchain-backed supply chain platform that came online for the first time in 2018, citing a “lack of global industry collaboration” for its demise.

License 219

License Transportation Distribution Banking 219

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 23, 2024

in August 2018. The following graph shows months-of-supply since 2017. Note that months-of-supply is higher than the last 3 years (2021 - 2023), and above August 2019. Months-of-supply was at 4.2 in August 2017 and 4.3 In 2020 (black), months-of-supply increased at the beginning of the pandemic and then declined sharply.

Sales 279

Sales 279

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 24, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 16 November Due to the Veteran’s Day calendar shift, the U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year performance comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 16 November. Click on graph for larger image.

147

147

Calculated Risk

APRIL 23, 2023

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Jan to Mar 3.7% NA The 2023 increase in median prices from January to March was about the same as in 2018 and 2019. And prices only declined slightly in the 2nd half of 2021. Mar to Jun 9.6% NA Total Jan to Jun 13.7% NA Jun to Dec -7.0% -3.8% 5.0% -2.2% -11.4%

Sales 246

Sales 246

The Big Picture

JULY 27, 2022

Consider these columns going back to 2013 pointing out the foolishness of tax-payer subsidized corporate welfare queens (2013), and why median wages were rising ( 2016 , 2017 , 2018 , 2018 , 2019 ). Then came the pandemic, and a huge federal worker subsidy. Workers upskilled and launched new businesses.

Medicine 331

Medicine Numbers Food Insurance 331

Calculated Risk

MARCH 26, 2024

Using the 2018 and 2019 seasonal factors, the Seasonally Adjusted Case-Shiller index would have declined slightly in January instead of increasing 0.4% The swings in the seasonal factors were decreasing following the bust but have increased again recently - this time without a surge in distressed sales. month-over-month.

Sales 269

Sales 269

Calculated Risk

JUNE 26, 2023

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. . -- Hotel Occupancy: STR -- This graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four-week average. The red line is for 2023, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2022. This data is through June 17th.

Transportation 352

Transportation Numbers Sales 352

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 9, 2022

Note: The number of assets for problem banks increased significantly back in 2018 when Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas was added to the list. No banks failed in the second quarter. This graph from the FDIC shows the number of problem banks and assets at problem institutions.

Banking 349

Banking Insurance Numbers Assets 349

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 28, 2023

Note: The number of assets for problem banks increased significantly back in 2018 when Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas was added to the list. No banks failed in the fourth quarter. This graph from the FDIC shows the number of problem banks and assets at problem institutions.

Banking 360

Banking Insurance Numbers Assets 360

Calculated Risk

MARCH 22, 2024

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 16 March U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week but showed continued declines year over year , according to CoStar’s latest data through 16 March. Click on graph for larger image.

269

269

The Big Picture

MARCH 2, 2023

Year-over-year growth is now pacing just slightly ahead of the average rate from 2018 to 2019 (2.8 Apartment List notes in its most recent report that “Year-over-year rent growth is continuing to decelerate, and now stands at 3.0 percent, its lowest level since April 2021. percent), and is likely to decline further in the months ahead.”

Marketing 316

Marketing Marketing 316

Wealth Management

FEBRUARY 14, 2023

billion SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF uses natural-language processing in its portfolio construction.

Economy 147

Economy Portfolio 147

Calculated Risk

MAY 29, 2024

Note: The number of assets for problem banks increased significantly back in 2018 when Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas was added to the list. Problem banks represent 1.4 percent of total banks, which is within the normal range for non-crisis periods of 1 to 2 percent of all banks.

Numbers 312

Numbers Banking Insurance Assets 312

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 10, 2024

Change in Payroll Jobs per Year (000s) Total, Nonfarm Private Public 1997 3,406 3,211 195 1998 3,048 2,735 313 1999 3,181 2,720 461 2000 1,938 1,674 264 2001 -1,733 -2,284 551 2002 -515 -748 233 2003 125 167 -42 2004 2,038 1,891 147 2005 2,528 2,342 186 2006 2,092 1,883 209 2007 1,145 857 288 2008 -3,549 -3,729 180 2009 -5,041 -4,967 -74 2010 1,027 (..)

Economy 298

Economy Manufacturing Economics Sales 298

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 5, 2022

No, Your iPhone Does Not Make You Wealthy (June 4, 2018). Wealth Distribution in America (April 11, 2019). Composition of Wealth Differs: Middle Class to the Top 1% (June 5, 2019). Wages in America (2013-2021). Source : Moving between wealth brackets: Minimum cutoffs from the Distributional Financial Accounts.

Distribution 312

Distribution Accounting Economics 312

The Big Picture

MARCH 28, 2023

Wall Street Journal ) see also The Dodd-Frank Act could have at least helped Silicon Valley Bank ‘fail well’ Looking at the 2018 bill deregulating banks like SVB can not only help us understand what just happened, but it can also help us figure out what to do now. The book is a fun romp covering the 1998-2018 era. MSNBC ). •

Banking 290

Banking Retirement Economy Economics 290

The Big Picture

AUGUST 15, 2022

Bull Markets & P/E Multiple Expansion (June 22, 2018). Bull Markets Can’t Start Until Bear Markets End (March 9, 2018). We won’t know for sure until after the fact but it certainly hurt helps us to understand this context better. Previously : End of the Secular Bull? Not So Fast (April 3, 2020). November 4, 2016).

Economy 328

Economy Marketing Marketing Economics 328

The Big Picture

MAY 21, 2023

In 2018, the PE firm shelled out over $5 billion in 2018 to take Envision private, in a deal valued at $9.9 Free speech—unless a country doesn’t really do free speech. “The bankruptcy wipes out private equity firm KKR’s investment in Envision. billion including debt.

Insurance 299

Insurance Healthcare Nonprofit Ethics 299

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 23, 2023

In the research data, this is reflected in a big uptick in advisors doing the most comprehensive plans: 54% of respondents offered 'Extensive' plans (with at least 13 planning components) in 2022, up from 35% in the 2020 edition of the study and 39% in 2018.

Financial Planning 246

Financial Planning Planning Clients Financial Planner 246

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 8, 2022

The Illusion of Knowledge (Oaktree Capital, September 2022), I Beg to Differ (Oaktree Capital, July 2022), Previously : MIB: Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital (October 6, 2018). (Oaktree Capital, November 22, 2022). Howard Marks on What Matters Most (February 22, 2017). The post What Doesn’t Matter appeared first on The Big Picture.

Investing 279

Investing Investments 279

Calculated Risk

JULY 20, 2023

Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy. From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 15 July U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week and showed improved comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 15 July. Click on graph for larger image.

246

246

The Big Picture

JANUARY 26, 2023

April 12, 2018) The post How to Avoid Financial Disasters appeared first on The Big Picture. August 10, 2007) What is your Value Add ?

Accounting 297

Accounting Portfolio Investing Investments 297