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Bull Market Signposts: What Happens Before S&P 500 Peaks?

The Big Picture

In response to repeated inquiries from BofA clients, Savita looked at numerous indicators that collectively suggest markets are topping. These include July 1990 (1990-91 recession), March 2000 (dotcom top), October 2007 (GFC), September 2018 (Q4 20% drop), February 2020 (COVID), and January 2022 (525 bps of rate hikes in 18 months).

Marketing 195
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Outlook for 2018 | Confronting the Unknown

Brown Advisory

Outlook for 2018 | Confronting the Unknown. Fri, 03/30/2018 - 11:57. Throughout 2017, our meetings and conversations with clients very frequently focused on the topic of risk. Upside risk” that stock valuations shift even higher. These views have led us to reduce exposure to large-cap U.S. China’s “credit bubble” bursts.

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Global Leaders Investment Letter - Q3 2018

Brown Advisory

To the extent specific securities are mentioned, they have been selected by the author on an objective basis to illustrate views expressed in the commentary and do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold or recommended for advisory clients.

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Global Leaders Investment Letter - Q3 2018

Brown Advisory

Global Leaders Investment Letter - Q3 2018. Sun, 09/30/2018 - 09:50. Global Leaders Strategy Investment Letter - Q3 2018. In this letter, the team discuss the dangers of shorthand valuation techniques and the oversimplification of passive investing, particularly during periods of market volatility. . .

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Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds

Brown Advisory

Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds ajackson Tue, 07/24/2018 - 09:25 For years, “defense” in portfolios—i.e., Many noisy political topics have dominated the investment discourse in 2018, but underneath that noise and volatility, the drum beat of rising interest rates in the U.S.

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Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds

Brown Advisory

Tue, 07/24/2018 - 09:25. Many noisy political topics have dominated the investment discourse in 2018, but underneath that noise and volatility, the drum beat of rising interest rates in the U.S. Louis Fed) rose above 50 bps at the end of 2016, and since then has ticked up to 180 bps as of June 30, 2018. and 2.9%). .

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Outlook for 2019 | The Measure of All Things

Brown Advisory

Last year, our annual outlook publication, Confronting the Unknown , focused on risk: how we define it, how we measure it, and what we saw as the major risks facing investors in 2018. All of this weighed heavily on equity returns across the globe in 2018. This is also a fitting moment to review the intersection of risk and valuation.