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I had a very lucky purchase in late 2018 and although I have rearranged how/where I own it, I haven't sold. First, is the math right based on my numbers? I'd be curious to hear if anyone else does the same search and finds a different number of lost coins. How much Bitcoin, if any, do you own. How can it solve anyone's problem?
There's other math about outperformance but also the observation that momentum is prone to crashes. The momentum funds also did not provide early warning for the downturn in late 2018. One interesting nugget from the paper is that dramatically improving momentum only resulted in an increase to beta of 0.2%. Here's the last year.
In the case of real estate a 2.29% weighting and for "private equity" companies it's about 17 basis points (looked at XLF holdings and then did a little math), that's just not going to move the needle. You may agree with Jack about not needing those things, that's valid, my point is that owning an index fund isn't a proxy for them.
Turns out the math checks out using Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) which is a proxy for a 60/40 equities/fixed income portfolio and the Guggenheim Managed Futures Strategy Fund (RYMFX). It did even less during the Christmas Crash of 2018 when VBAIX dropped 12.6% in that same 2018 event. percentage points. Giving up 1.5%
DBC also went down in the 2018 Christmas Crash again, taking longer to come back. The math shows the NTSX/ARBIX/BTAL combo would be down 14.7% I imagine the effect there is both stocks and commodities are both pro-cyclical. Not that long commodities exposure is a bad thing, I just don't think it works in this context.
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. So I applied to Maryland State retirement.
It has to be such a different set, the retirement planning is different, the safety net is different. People in Spain when I was growing up in the ‘80s and ‘90s, they expect to just retire and have the government give them like a paycheck every month. So a phenomenal learning experience with both Jefferies and Morgan Stanley.
Tom Fridrich, JD, CLU, ChFC ® , Senior Wealth Planner We’ve all asked ourselves whether it’s too early to retire (usually after a particularly challenging commute or dealing with a difficult client). But even if you feel confident today, would it be reasonable to retire early? How Early Is Early?
One is that a politician who votes to cut benefits or raise the retirement age will probably lose some voter support. Keep in mind that extending the full retirement age (FRA) to 68 or 69 or whatever is a de facto benefit cut. The last sentence is about the math involved not about the right and wrong of any of it which we'll get to.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
If you recall, back in 2018, vol Mageddon, he was on the right side of that trade, made hundreds of millions of dollars for his firm in identifying a structural problem that was about to blow up. But before I leave the teal macro, I gotta ask you about the famous Vage trade in 2018. Tell us a little bit about that trade.
So you retire in 2018. By the way, you show the math in the book very, very easily and understandable for those who may not be as mathy, which is basically a giant fund collecting 2 percent is much better than a smaller fund that’s killing it, but they’re not starting out with a lot of assets.
.” It’s really helpful to have had five other meetings with people who sit at analogous funds that had losses that were just as big, and in fact, they may have contributed to those losses more and be able to tell him, first off, your fund, just by my math, has a $250 million management fee. Balyasny lost a lot of capital in 2018.
I don’t even know what it’s going to be yet, but I mean, I’m not retiring. A term that we sort of invented in 2018, which I regret now. So that’s the math. And that’s why I always think about my life, which is the next thing I do is gonna be something totally different. 00:24:26 Okay.
Policy lapse results in phantom income tax on the entire amount of the capital gain in the policy, plus there is the disappointment of having an asset you counted on (maybe to retire) go to zero. Sara G About Bobby Samuelson Bobby co-founded Life Innovators in 2018 and has been President and CEO since its inception.
I’m good at math and science and you know, I always had an idea what go into business, but I felt that electrical engineering would be a good foundation. You know, I, it always, I I see different numbers all the time, so it’s always kinda like, who’s math if you will? 00:02:16 [Speaker Changed] Me too.
So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. in 2018, in the European Union in 2020, in Australian in 2021. And so, it wasn’t just a fishing boat, it was an oceangoing factory, very impressive. How many do you have in your fleet?
From its January 22, 2018 inception through November 1, 2024, the fund lost 2.8 For example, Michael Moore, famous for being one of the few people who predicted Donald Trump’s election win in 2016, confidently declared that Mr. Trump would not win again in 2024 ( Do The Math: Trump Is Toast ). Happy Retirement, Paul!
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