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Market Commentary: Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead, but First an Election

Carson Wealth

However, this shouldn’t be a big surprise because we knew Hurricanes Milton and Helene would weigh on the numbers. September payrolls were revised down by 31,000 to +223,000 jobs, and August was revised down by 81,000 to +78,000 (the first sub-100,000 monthly payroll number since December 2020). The 2017-2019 pace was 3.1%.)

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Market Commentary: Dow Hits 40,000 As Inflation Numbers Improve

Carson Wealth

April inflation data confirmed there is no need to panic about the first-quarter numbers. That’s the slowest pace since August 2021 and not far above the 2018-2019 average of 3.6%. but well above the 2018-2019 average of 3.2%. That’s similar to the pace of 2019. Forward-looking data suggest continued disinflation ahead.

Numbers 96
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Monthly numbers can be noisy and so a 3-month average is helpful. Thats running at a solid 170,000 per month, versus an average of 166,000 in 2019. million in 2023 but well in the ballpark of what we saw in 2017-2019 (2.1 in 2018-2019. in 2018-2019). Compliance Case # 7521978.1._011325_C By no means is a 1.9%

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Market Commentary: The Summer Rally Continues Amid Strong Job Gains

Carson Wealth

We didn’t even see significant revisions to March and April payroll numbers, and the 3-month average now sits at 249,000. In 2019, average monthly job growth was 166,000. The payroll number comes from the “establishment survey,” which is a survey of about 119,000 businesses and government agencies (about 629,000 worksites).

Marketing 142
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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

after adjusting for inflation, matching the average annual pace between 2010 and 2019. Compare that to the 2018-2019 pace of 1.7% The consumption numbers quoted above came amidst surging student loan payments. The last two months have exceeded the monthly average of $6 billion from 2019. real growth in the third quarter.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000. 6 million level we saw in 2018-2019. million level we saw in 2018-2019. Hires fell to 5.3

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. In fact, the average annual number of jobs gained from 2010-2019 was 2.2 Another 20% gain is possible, however, as it has happened before four times.