Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 11, 2023

For perspective, job growth averaged 163,000 a month in 2019. Yes, the number of jobs per month is slowing, but we expect continued growth throughout next year, which should support the consumer and suggests better-than-expected economic growth. The economy added nearly 5 million jobs last year and has added another 2.5

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Carson Wealth

MARCH 4, 2024

.” — Winston Churchill The S&P 500 was up in both January and February for the first time since 2019. The numbers suggest the slight near-term lift in inflation is a bump, not a new surge higher. It’s only slightly elevated relative to the 2017-2019 average of 2.9%. across 2018-2019.

Marketing 90

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 90

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

However, this shouldn’t be a big surprise because we knew Hurricanes Milton and Helene would weigh on the numbers. September payrolls were revised down by 31,000 to +223,000 jobs, and August was revised down by 81,000 to +78,000 (the first sub-100,000 monthly payroll number since December 2020). The 2017-2019 pace was 3.1%.)

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

Carson Wealth

APRIL 29, 2024

While the GDP number for the first quarter disappointed, strength was evident beneath the surface. The weakest numbers were in areas that are volatile and tend to reverse, such as inventories and net exports. The core numbers were solid again and didn’t change our basic outlook for the rest of the year. in the first quarter.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 29, 2024

Instead, this is what happened: The economy accelerated in 2023, with GDP growth rising 3.1%, well above the 2010-2019 trend of 2.4% and 2017-2019 pace of 2.8%. That’s well above the 2010-2019 average of 2.4% Even the year-over-year rate, which partly relies on year-old numbers that aren’t relevant anymore, came in at 2.9%

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

JULY 29, 2024

It’s a very solid, but not spectacular, number, just in the top half of all quarters since 2010, but looking at it in the context of the rate environment shows just how resilient the economy has been. almost broke the economy in 2019. This was well above expectations of a 2.0% increase and acceleration from last quarter’s 1.4%.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Transportation 97

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

But here’s some perspective on those numbers: Job growth was impacted by the United Auto Workers strike, which pulled manufacturing employment down by 33,000, and those jobs will return next month. Monthly job growth numbers can be noisy, and so the three-month average is helpful to review. million in 2019.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

David Nelson

JULY 25, 2022

Business Insider laid out in specific detail Mr. Pelosi’s trades in a number of securities and of special interest were trades involving the exercise of options in semiconductor company Nvidia (NVDA). Most have a compliance division to monitor employee trading. You don’t have to be a corporate insider to meet the test.

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Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 7, 2024

Strong Job Numbers Are Good News for the Economy and Markets There’s been valid concern that employment conditions are deteriorating, ever so slowly. That’s higher than anything we saw between 2001 and 2019 (when it peaked at 80.4%). in 2019, 5.9% Since the end of 2019, the S&P 500 is up 92%. in April 2023 to 4.3%

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 96

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 16, 2024

These numbers are clearly over the Feds 2% target. Still, lets focus on where excess inflation is coming from for CPI and compare the November data to December 2019 (when headline and core CPI were up 2.3% in December 2019. y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.7%. y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.3%.

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Marketing Marketing Insurance Food 52

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 14, 2024

The elevated core numbers are due to lagging shelter inflation within official data (shelter makes up 44% of core CPI). I don’t know how you can look at these numbers and still say inflation is a problem. The chart below shows monthly inflation numbers (headline and core) over this period. Core CPI is up 3.3%

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Marketing Marketing Numbers Food 96

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 23, 2024

But we think now is more like the normalization cuts we saw in 1984, 1995, and 2019, all of which saw continued gains a year later. It turns out they are and the last time we saw this was in 2019. Beyond headline inflation, higher energy prices can even feed into core inflation numbers that the Fed typically focuses on.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 96

Carson Wealth

MARCH 25, 2024

If tech is removed from the equation, those numbers are estimated to drop approximately three points, putting stocks right in line with historical averages. One reason many claim the stock market is in a bubble is 2023 earnings were barely positive while stocks soared, implying it was all multiple expansion.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 97

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 9, 2024

The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000. 6 million level we saw in 2018-2019. million level we saw in 2018-2019. Hires fell to 5.3

Marketing 69

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 69

Carson Wealth

JULY 17, 2023

Take note the other years they expected lower prices during the final six months of the year were 1999, 2019, 2020, and 2021. The Path to Lower Inflation Is Now Clear The June CPI report was a positive surprise, both in terms of the headline numbers as well as the underlying details. That comes out to a very impressive 12.2%

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Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 26, 2024

NSE also oversees compliance by its members and listed companies with relevant rules and regulations. Regulatory compliance: Operating in a highly regulated industry, NSE must comply with strict legal and regulatory requirements. Any failure in compliance may lead to penalties, fines, or reputational damage, impacting operations.

Compliance 90

Compliance Banking Management Risk Management 90

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

The third quarter’s blockbuster productivity data follows a hot number from the prior quarter, when productivity rose 3.5% (annualized). annual pace, which is faster than the 2010-2019 pace of 1.2%. It’s also 40% above the 2010-2019 average and 4% above the 2005-2007 average. Since 2020, productivity has averaged a 1.4%

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Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 30, 2023

percentage points to the headline number. Incredibly, the economy has grown faster than the 2017-2019 pace of 2.8%. Median net worth rose 37% between 2019 and 2022. Compliance Case # 01956333_103023_C The post Market Commentary: How Bad Is It? That added 1.3 It helps to extend the horizon.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Government 96

Carson Wealth

MAY 13, 2024

The “soft” GDP number hid underlying strength, as most of the weakness was in the numbers that tend not to persist, and the payroll report was quite positive even if it missed expectations. The banking system has held up, and economic growth has run ahead of the pre-pandemic 2010-2019 trend. trend between 2010 and 2019.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 97

Carson Wealth

APRIL 8, 2024

gain, but not a bad number by any means. For perspective, payroll growth averaged 166,000 in 2019. That means labor productivity continues to run strong, as workers are producing above-trend output while working the same number of hours. reported revenue growth, which are strong year-over-year numbers. median return.

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Carson Wealth

JUNE 17, 2024

Here’s Why We Think Inflation Is Headed Lower CPI inflation data is backward looking (last week’s number were for May), but the guts of the report, and the trends within, can tell us what we may be looking at on a go-forward basis. Headline inflation is running at a 2.8% That is not a typo. There’s good news on that front.

Marketing 86

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 86

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 20, 2023

Also, the number of NYSE stocks on the rise surged, which is exactly what was needed for the next phase of this bull market to continue. Compliance Case # 01990900_112023_C The post Market Commentary: The Rally Continued appeared first on Carson Wealth. Inflation broadened significantly for these items by September 2022.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Distribution 96

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 9, 2024

That’s higher than anything we saw between 2001 and 2019 (when it peaked at 80.4%). from 2017-2019, and around 1.3-1.6% The “insured unemployment rate,” which measures the number of unemployed people continuing to receive unemployment benefits as a percent of covered employment, is at 1.2% – above where it was pre-pandemic.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 72

Carson Wealth

JUNE 5, 2023

That’s a solid job growth number but a step down from reports through April. During the last expansion, 2010-2019, average annual payroll growth was 2.2 This measures the number of people working as a percentage of the civilian population. Compliance Case # 01787581 The post Breakout Confirmed appeared first on Carson Wealth.

Economy 52

Economy Numbers Compliance Banking 52

Carson Wealth

MAY 1, 2023

Here’s how the various components contributed to the headline number in the fourth quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023. The average over the last decade (2010 – 2019) was 2.3%. For perspective on the consumption numbers from the first quarter, the pace of growth was a lot faster than the 2.3% in the first quarter.

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Carson Wealth

AUGUST 14, 2023

In addition, credit card debt as a percentage of disposable income is 21%, which is still lower than it was at the end of 2019, when it was 22%, and well beneath the 2003-2019 average of 26%. between 2018 and 2019, which was consistent with core inflation running at 2% (the Fed’s target). However, monthly data can be noisy.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Food Compliance 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 22, 2021

We are enthusiastic investors in AI—specifically in a number of leading developers of essential AI technology, as well as users of AI applications (in a separate upcoming publication we plan to discuss in greater detail the opportunities we see in this space). A number of salient risks face companies in the AI arena.

Ethics 52

Ethics Compliance Government Clients 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 22, 2021

We are enthusiastic investors in AI—specifically in a number of leading developers of essential AI technology, as well as users of AI applications (in a separate upcoming publication we plan to discuss in greater detail the opportunities we see in this space). A number of salient risks face companies in the AI arena.

Ethics 52

Ethics Compliance Government Clients 52

The Better Letter

MARCH 16, 2023

2 Nobody knows for sure what the actual numbers are, but it is estimated that as many as 100 million NCAA Tournament brackets are filled out each year. In June 2002, electrician Mike McDermott won £194,501 on the UK National Lottery after correctly choosing five numbers and the bonus ball. Those are insanely long odds.

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Math Numbers Medicine Marketing 93

Trade Brains

JULY 12, 2022

Under the cap-and-trade program, the government allows a certain number of credits every year and beyond which companies cannot pollute. With compliance with the regulations and certification standards. In Crores Company 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Revenue ? So, the question arises from where do companies buy these credits?

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Certification Consulting Government Clients 52

The Big Picture

AUGUST 20, 2024

So any compliance people listening, I’m just spitballing here. The problem is that model, the wisdom of crowds actually requires everybody to have what’s called equal endowment or the same number of votes. When we first saw this in, I wanna say 2019, it’s like, oh, I get it. That’s Barry saying it.

Assets 173

Assets Management Portfolio Taxes 173

Carson Wealth

MAY 4, 2023

In practice, ISOs create complex tax compliance and planning issues for both employers and employees. Stock options can be either qualified or non-qualified, and the primary difference is how they are taxed. A qualified stock option is traditionally referred to as an Incentive Stock Option (ISO).

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Taxes Sales Planning Tax Planning 52

Brown Advisory

JANUARY 1, 2023

We were excited when we got the opportunity to invest in Danish medical device manufacturer Coloplast in September, our first new health care company since 2019. We have looked at a number of potential opportunities especially in those providing services to the sector or intellectual property but nothing yet has passed all our tests.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Valuation Clients 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 5, 2023

And I literally put the entire Schedule A, which is the pricing square footage unit numbers in a Hewlett Packard 41B using bit mapping. Everybody knew the number but the appraiser. MILLER: The term back then was, here’s a good appraiser, good in air quotes and good translated into making the number. Just keep it fair.

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Sales Numbers Taxes Marketing 130

The Big Picture

JANUARY 24, 2023

I mean, those were the — that’s what got people all excited and — RITHOLTZ: That’s venture capital numbers. KLINSKY: Well, that is — and it was kind of venture capital numbers because the dollars were so small. RITHOLTZ: So talk about building New Mountains in 2019. RITHOLTZ: Right. KLINSKY: Right.

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Investments Investing Numbers Banking 263

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 5, 2024

You, you graduate western Kentucky in 2019, triple major financial management, economics and business data analytics. I remember I graduated, you know, basically June of 2019 and I moved out to LA from Kentucky like five days after I graduated school. To a number of people. So let’s talk a little bit about your background.

Economy 162

Economy Education Insurance Economics 162

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 5, 2024

Of course, it’s one thing to get strong numbers, but it’s even better when the data are strong for the right reasons. For perspective, the average in 2019 was 163,000. It measures the number of people aged 25-54 who are employed, as a percent of the total number within this cohort that could potentially be employed.

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